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of long-term leases, usually 70 years,<br />

that are typically tradable. Agricultural<br />

land leases, typically 30 years, for individual<br />

farms are administered by village<br />

committees.<br />

These factors mean the state—<br />

or local governments acting on its<br />

behalf—is directly responsible for land<br />

conservation. The central government<br />

in Beijing has ordered local governments<br />

to strictly limit the rezoning of<br />

agricultural land for urban purposes,<br />

but the policy is hard to enforce. Local<br />

governments have a strong financial<br />

incentive to acquire agricultural land<br />

for development, as they can cash in<br />

on the huge difference between the<br />

compensation price and the rezoned<br />

property’s commercial value.<br />

In the absence of private land ownership<br />

and rural land markets, farmers<br />

tend to get the short end of the stick<br />

in the rezoning of their land for urban<br />

purposes. The regulated compensation<br />

price is calculated as the present value of<br />

future agricultural income. The lack of<br />

legal recourse against the acquisition<br />

of farmland for urban development,<br />

together with inadequate compensation,<br />

is probably the most important<br />

source of thousands of often violent<br />

rural protests in China every year.<br />

In response to those problems, some<br />

cities have begun to experiment with<br />

different compensation methods—for<br />

example, giving farmers shares in<br />

companies that will use their land for<br />

commercial projects, such as shopping<br />

malls or apartment complexes.<br />

In the long run, China may return<br />

to a system of private land ownership,<br />

but—though much debated in<br />

academic circles—it remains a highly<br />

charged subject, and no major changes<br />

are expected anytime soon. The issue<br />

of land ownership is so controversial<br />

in China because the Communist<br />

revolution was based, in part, on the<br />

redistribution of large land holdings to<br />

the many millions of landless farmers<br />

20 <strong>SAIS</strong>PHERE<br />

who worked for landlords, often under<br />

conditions of semi-serfdom.<br />

The nearest thing to private ownership<br />

of agricultural land that might<br />

occur is the conversion of long-term<br />

leases into lease contracts of indefinite<br />

duration, combined with full tradability<br />

of user rights and the use of agricultural<br />

land as collateral for bank loans.<br />

A 2008 State Council decision made<br />

that possible in principle, but there has<br />

been no legislative follow-up. Unlike<br />

India, China has few landless farmers;<br />

a return to private land ownership<br />

could re-create conditions that force<br />

many farmers to sell their land to large<br />

landowners.<br />

To increase the supply of agricultural<br />

land and permit the consolidation<br />

of small plots into larger, more efficient<br />

farms, Chongqing and other cities<br />

with significant farmland within their<br />

municipal boundaries are bulldozing<br />

rural village compounds. The cities<br />

house the villagers in urban apartment<br />

complexes while issuing them,<br />

as part of the deal, an urban hukou<br />

to improve their access to subsidized<br />

Unlike India, China has few landless farmers; a return to private<br />

land ownership could re-create conditions that force many<br />

farmers to sell their land to large landowners.<br />

urban services. This can be a source<br />

of enormous friction between farmers<br />

affected by such policies and the local<br />

authorities. China also is trying to<br />

expand its agricultural or grazing land<br />

through land reclamation. The result<br />

of all efforts combined is that the net<br />

loss of agricultural land in recent years<br />

was zero.<br />

China’s rural transformation has<br />

progressed far since the late 1970s but<br />

will not be complete until all agricultural<br />

surplus labor has been absorbed in<br />

alternative, higher-productivity activities;<br />

landowner and land user rights are<br />

secure; and the composition of output<br />

has adjusted to the principles of comparative<br />

advantage, as envisaged under<br />

the World Trade Organization. n<br />

Pieter Bottelier is senior adjunct<br />

professor of China Studies.<br />

Is<br />

Agri<br />

Despite the<br />

emerging<br />

consensus on the<br />

need to<br />

support<br />

agricultural<br />

development, the<br />

question of how<br />

to do so remains<br />

controversial

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