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tainable levels. Illegal fishing remains<br />

problematic, though some progress has<br />

been made. For example, the number<br />

of incidents in which Chinese vessels<br />

were caught fishing illegally by South<br />

Korea peaked in 2005 at 584, then<br />

decreased each year through 2010 (363<br />

incidents) before rising again to at least<br />

440 in 2011. Both Chinese and South<br />

Korean officials and experts attribute<br />

the overall decrease to greater efforts<br />

on the part of the Chinese to stem the<br />

problem through education and alternative<br />

employment opportunities.<br />

Why, then, have we seen a number of<br />

high-profile security incidents related to<br />

fisheries recently? In September 2010,<br />

a Chinese fishing vessel clashed with<br />

two Japanese coast guard vessels near<br />

the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands.<br />

The scuffle resulted in the apprehension<br />

of the Chinese captain by Japanese<br />

authorities, an embargo on rare earth<br />

exports (minerals and metals needed<br />

for smartphones and other advanced<br />

technology) from China to Japan and a<br />

cooling in China-Japan relations. A few<br />

months later, another skirmish between<br />

Chinese fishing vessels and the South<br />

Korean coast guard took place in the<br />

Yellow Sea, resulting in the death of<br />

three Chinese fishermen. In June 2011,<br />

a Chinese fishing boat collided with an<br />

exploration cable from a Vietnamese<br />

seismic survey vessel, and the incident<br />

was followed by Vietnamese protests. In<br />

December 2011, a Chinese fisherman<br />

on a vessel operating illegally stabbed<br />

two South Korean coast guard officers,<br />

killing one and wounding the other.<br />

Some analysts believe these conflicts<br />

are part of China’s grand strategy in<br />

Asia, though an alternative explanation<br />

points to the effects of domestic political<br />

dynamics. Conflicting signals and priorities<br />

between the central and local government<br />

are contributing to the occurrence<br />

of these incidents. The central<br />

government has an interest in preserving<br />

China’s national sovereignty, but it also<br />

strives to maintain good diplomatic relations<br />

with neighboring countries—not<br />

least to provide a stable environment for<br />

China’s economic development.<br />

At the provincial level, however,<br />

local officials are concerned primarily<br />

with economic performance, for which<br />

they are accountable to the central<br />

government. Therefore, fishermen are<br />

encouraged to catch as much as possible.<br />

Because fish are scarcer in Chinese<br />

coastal waters, the country’s vessels are<br />

venturing farther to fish and into waters<br />

the central government says they have<br />

a right to be in—where they come into<br />

conflict with neighboring countries.<br />

Add to this a bit of Chinese Communist<br />

Party insecurity over China’s 2012<br />

leadership succession, and one result<br />

is a more aggressive response to some<br />

of these conflicts so the Chinese state<br />

appears strong to its citizens.<br />

China’s bilateral fishery spats with<br />

Japan, South Korea and Vietnam<br />

have a very real historical and diplomatic<br />

dimension. The long-fraught<br />

relationship with Japan had been<br />

slowly improving since 2006, but the<br />

recent conflict was a serious setback.<br />

Unless the situation improves through<br />

confidence-building measures such as<br />

dialogue over reconciliation, such disputes<br />

about resources, including fisheries,<br />

are likely to continue. China’s foundation<br />

with South Korea is in markedly<br />

better shape, and when clashes over<br />

fisheries happen, they are less apt to<br />

spill over and negatively affect the<br />

overall relationship. The historical connection<br />

between China and Vietnam<br />

is also a difficult one, though conflicts<br />

with Vietnam must be set in the larger<br />

context of the South China Sea.<br />

The dispute over the South China<br />

Sea is mainly over who controls sea<br />

lines of communication and the abundant<br />

hydrocarbon resources believed<br />

present in the seabed. But disputes over<br />

these resources are diverting attention<br />

away from what is the more important<br />

resource in the area—the rich fisheries<br />

on which coastal communities along<br />

the South China Sea basin heavily<br />

depend. Whereas the estimated hydrocarbon<br />

resources are not a long-term<br />

energy solution, the fisheries are renew-<br />

able if they can be managed. China<br />

has been dispatching fisheries law<br />

enforcement vessels to patrol the waters<br />

around the Paracel and Spratly Islands<br />

for illegal fishing, though many people<br />

suspect Chinese authorities are using<br />

the fisheries as an excuse to assert control<br />

over the South China Sea through<br />

civilian instead of direct military means.<br />

Distant Seas<br />

Because of these growing pressures<br />

on fisheries in China’s near seas, the<br />

country has shifted its efforts toward<br />

developing distant-water fishing. China<br />

believes it deserves its “fair share” of<br />

global fish stocks and sees distantwater<br />

fishing as a way to increase its<br />

ocean presence globally. The country<br />

maintains that distant-water fishing is<br />

an important part of its official “going<br />

out” strategy—a strategy detailed in<br />

the 10th Five-Year Plan (2001–05),<br />

which encourages Chinese companies<br />

to search for new markets and invest<br />

abroad. Through preferential tax treatments<br />

and fuel offsets, China subsidizes<br />

its distant-water fishing fleets to fish on<br />

China’s distant-water fishing strategy is potentially problematic.<br />

Fish stocks around the world are already severely threatened,<br />

which has negative implications for the livelihoods of<br />

subsistence-level coastal communities.<br />

the high seas and in the EEZs of other<br />

countries. It is working to expand the<br />

size and technology of its distant-water<br />

fleets, already the largest in the world<br />

(although its fleet technology is inferior<br />

to that of developed countries) and is<br />

making plans to exploit nontraditional<br />

fisheries such as Antarctic krill.<br />

But China’s distant-water fishing<br />

strategy is potentially problematic. Fish<br />

stocks around the world are already<br />

severely threatened, which has negative<br />

implications for the livelihoods of<br />

subsistence-level coastal communities.<br />

For example, China has nearly<br />

400 fishing vessels in 10 West African<br />

countries through bilateral fisheriesaccess<br />

agreements with these countries.<br />

But some West African governments,<br />

heavily dependent on licensing fees for<br />

their national budgets, may be issuing<br />

2011–2012 39

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