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culture<br />

the<br />

Answer?<br />

By Marc J. Cohen<br />

After decades of neglect, agriculture<br />

is back in a high place on the<br />

international development agenda.<br />

There is now a broad consensus<br />

among development actors that<br />

agriculture plays an essential role in<br />

economic growth, poverty reduction,<br />

conflict resolution and tackling climate change.<br />

Nevertheless, controversy swirls around the question<br />

of how best to achieve agricultural development,<br />

with sharp debates over such issues as land tenure<br />

and optimal farm size, as well as what to cultivate<br />

and where and how to do so.<br />

Year of<br />

Agriculture<br />

at<strong>SAIS</strong><br />

Agriculture has “special powers”<br />

for poverty reduction, the World Bank<br />

noted in its World Development Report<br />

2008: Agriculture for Development.<br />

According to the World Bank, studies<br />

show that economic growth based on<br />

agriculture is at least twice as effective<br />

as other kinds of growth in cutting<br />

poverty.<br />

Agricultural economist John Mellor<br />

explained the reasons for this in a series<br />

of works written between the 1960s<br />

and the 1990s. In poor developing<br />

countries, where agriculture accounts<br />

for a large share of economic activity,<br />

technological change in staple crop<br />

production leads to substantial productivity<br />

gains. This in turn creates more<br />

employment opportunities on the farm,<br />

lower food prices for consumers in<br />

both rural and urban areas, and gains in<br />

farm income (despite lower prices) due<br />

to lower unit costs of production. Rural<br />

people use their higher incomes to<br />

purchase nonfarm goods and services,<br />

thereby stimulating growth throughout<br />

the economy. And finally, continued<br />

productivity gains in agriculture generate<br />

the basis for industrial development<br />

(one Mellor-edited study is titled Agriculture<br />

on the Road to Industrialization).<br />

Mellor’s theory—often referred to as<br />

“agricultural growth linkages”—drew<br />

heavily on evidence from South Asia’s<br />

“green revolution.”<br />

Contemporary development thinking<br />

focuses on poverty reduction as<br />

much as economic growth, as reflected<br />

in the U.N.’s Millennium Development<br />

Goals. According to the U.N. International<br />

Fund for Agricultural Development,<br />

at least 70 percent of the world’s<br />

extremely poor people—those living<br />

on the equivalent of less than $1.25<br />

a day—reside in the rural areas of<br />

developing countries. In Sub-Saharan<br />

Africa and South and Southeast Asia,<br />

the figure is 75 percent or more. Poor<br />

rural dwellers rely on agriculture and<br />

related activities for their livelihoods,<br />

either as members of farming or herding<br />

households or as agricultural,<br />

forestry and fishery workers. Ironically,<br />

according to the U.N. Millennium<br />

Project’s Task Force on Hunger, fully<br />

half of all hungry people live in small-<br />

2011–2012 21

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