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WHOI-90-52

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Addendum<br />

In the period since the presentation of this paper, there have been major changes in the political<br />

struture of Europe. While it is beyond our scope to analyze the potential effects of these<br />

changes on the markets for MEI technologies, we can outline a few points here. Th apparent<br />

success of Soviet glasnost, the razing of the Berlin wall, and the "demoratzaton" of Eatern<br />

European countries have resulted in a diferent economic environmnt than tha which existed<br />

only months before. Thre is nes of<br />

the possibilty of reduced defense spending, the relaxation<br />

of export controls, and improved link between EC and EFTA countries in a new "European<br />

Economic Space." But whether these changes will result in opportnitiesfor U.S. firm in MEI<br />

technologies is extremely uncertain. Given the severe environmntal problems faced by many<br />

Eatern European countries, we expect tha there is substantial needfor increased environmntal<br />

monitoring and oceanographic research technologies, for example. However, existing<br />

governntal andfinancial institutons, lack of<br />

technological capabilties (especially computers),<br />

and lower standards of living wil ma it dijcult, ifnot impossible, for such needs to be backed<br />

by hard currenc and revealed in expandd markets. It is clear tha firm in some Western<br />

European countries, especially West Germny (and possibly also Finland to a lesser extent), may<br />

alread have head starts and locational advantages in the establishmnt of trading and joint<br />

venture relatonships with Eatern European countries. Th opening of the Eatern European<br />

markets will be yet another important factor for future consideration of the competitive position<br />

of u.s. firm in the MEI field.<br />

29

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