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Contextual Determinants of Electoral System Choice - Åbo Akademi

Contextual Determinants of Electoral System Choice - Åbo Akademi

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3.2.3.2 Actor-Related ProblemsA study <strong>of</strong> electoral system choice cannot completely ignore the role <strong>of</strong> politicalactors. The sociopolitical, historical and geographical settings constitute aframework for choosing an electoral system but the choice itself is implemented bypolitical actors. Irrespective <strong>of</strong> why a given electoral system is adopted, thedecision is taken by politicians who pursue their individual interests above else.Their interests may be centered on furthering their political careers, or they may befocused on voters <strong>of</strong> their own districts alternatively the country as a whole.Nevertheless, each participant in the process <strong>of</strong> choosing an electoral systempursues specific policy goals. Hence, the final choice reflects the interests <strong>of</strong>individual political actors and negotiated settlements <strong>of</strong> political conflicts over theinstitutional design (Mozaffar 1998: 81).The self-interest <strong>of</strong> politicians is, however, difficult to define. It cannot be definedsolely as winning the next election, since this goal may be against long-terminterests. One underlying interest <strong>of</strong> every responsible politician in democracies ispreservation <strong>of</strong> stability, which may conflict with preferences based on individualsuccess. Tradition and familiar examples from abroad also affect the mind <strong>of</strong>decision-makers. Some conclusions on the likely preferences <strong>of</strong> political actorscan, nonetheless, be drawn. The preferences <strong>of</strong> self-interested politicians dependon their roles, which societal interests their parties represent, and whether theirparties are rising or declining relative to others. Mozaffar asserts that politiciansand parties prefer electoral rules that they think will lead to winning elections, or atleast maximizing their legislative representation (1998: 84). Members <strong>of</strong> smallparties, declining parties and parties with an uncertain future most likely preferproportional representation. Large parties and established parties with a firm votersupport, on the other hand, benefit from a majoritarian system that over-representsthe largest parties.An electoral system choice may, thus, be rational from two different perspectives.The choice may be rational with regard to, e.g. securing representation <strong>of</strong> severalethnic minorities by using a proportional system. The choice may also be rationalregarding the preferences <strong>of</strong> political actors; i.e. each politician prefers electoralrules that will most likely guarantee success for himself and/or his party. Aresponsible political leader in a plural society may prefer list PR with large districts88

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