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Contextual Determinants of Electoral System Choice - Åbo Akademi

Contextual Determinants of Electoral System Choice - Åbo Akademi

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preceded by military rule or other kinds <strong>of</strong> dictatorship without elections are alsoincluded, provided that elections have previously been held and the formerelectoral system is majoritarian. A prerequisite is, however, that the former rulingorganization is still present at the political arena when the party system istransformed. Some former Soviet states are also included, although thetransformation <strong>of</strong> the party system took place shortly before independence wasproclaimed. The introduction <strong>of</strong> multi-party systems in these countries was,notwithstanding, part <strong>of</strong> the independence process, and they are, furthermore,important cases <strong>of</strong> bargaining between the old elite and the new contestants. Theprerequisite <strong>of</strong> former elections under the majoritarian rule is fulfilled, becausepre-independence elections were held in all these countries. <strong>System</strong>s characterizedby some degree <strong>of</strong> competition between factions within the sole party are regardedas one-party systems.The introduction <strong>of</strong> multi-party politics is assumed to influence the choice <strong>of</strong>electoral system. In some cases, however, the distance between the independentand the dependent variable may be diminutive, since both the transformation andthe electoral reform are regarded as part <strong>of</strong> the democratization process. Bothreforms may actually be introduced simultaneously as part <strong>of</strong> a new constitution.Notwithstanding, I argue that the choice <strong>of</strong> electoral system is a consequence <strong>of</strong> thefundamental changes in the party system structure. The electoral system is a means<strong>of</strong> dealing with a new environment consisting <strong>of</strong> several political parties. From ademocratic point <strong>of</strong> view, the introduction <strong>of</strong> competitive elections takesprecedence over the choice <strong>of</strong> electoral provisions – the former is more importantthan the latter. In addition, from a logical point <strong>of</strong> view, the regime hardly decideson the adoption <strong>of</strong> a proportional system before it decides to lift the ban onpolitical parties. Even if that were the case, the decision on the electoral systemwould still be taken with the forthcoming, <strong>of</strong>ten unavoidable, situation <strong>of</strong> severalcompetitors in mind.Party system transformation is closely related to the variable that measures thelevel <strong>of</strong> party system fragmentation. A crucial difference is that party systemfragmentation is concerned with countries that have previously held competitive orat least semi-competitive elections, whereas the transformation variable paysattention to countries that introduce multi-party politics. In addition, party systemtransformation is, as mentioned earlier, particularly concerned with the126

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