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Chapter 4:Potential Economic ImpactsEconomic Impact Modeling: Great Lakes Biodiesel Plant4.1 Biodiesel Plant ImpactThe use of biodiesel fuel by Great Lakes commercial fleets is expected to increase in thefuture. By the end of the decade, the demand for biodiesel could be over 30 milliongallons. Although over 23 million gallons of diesel sales were disclosed by two GreatLakes suppliers for this report, other Great Lakes producers would not reveal salesvolume. Therefore total Great Lakes sales or production could not be reported. Howeverit is possible to assume that a new 30 million gallons biodiesel facility could be supportedas the Great Lakes fleets convert to biodiesel usage. We note from the previous chapter,data show that there was domestic demand for 2.1 billion gallons of distillate fuel oil forvessel bunkering in 2004. How quickly vessels will convert to biodiesel is unknown, butsome of this demand could be supplied by increased biodiesel production. To meet thisincreased demand, a new Great Lakes Biodiesel Plant, of typical production capacity of30 million gallons per year, should be feasible. Our assumptions as inputs to these modelsare constrained to projections for commercial maritime diesel consumption.The following Great Lakes Biodiesel Plant is modeled to be a 30 million gallonproduction facility with a construction cost of $30.98 million. This study is not sitespecificin that the findings are for a facility that can be located anywhere in the eightstateGreat Lakes Region. There would be 37 workers employed at full capacityoperations. These economic model specifications were selected to be conservative andwell under estimated market demand. In reality, sales should be able to supportadditional Great Lakes plants to feed the expanding maritime demand. The economicimpacts presented in this report are for a single plant.The UMD Labovitz School research bureau (Bureau of Business and EconomicResearch) worked with biodiesel industry contacts in determining key assumptions in thedevelopment of the economic impact model. Regional and state data for the impactmodel for Value Added, Employment, and Output is supplied by IMPLAN. [35] Fromthese data, Social Accounts, Production, Absorption, and Byproducts information aregenerated from the national level data and incorporated into the model.The Study Area. This report measured the economic impact of a Great Lakes BiodieselPlant on the eightstate Great Lakes region. The study area includes the states ofMinnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, Pennsylvania and New York.26
Figure 4: Great Lakes Region IMPLAN model informationNote: The most recent data available for modeling is year 2003. IMPLAN model deflators were used toreport 2005 impacts.Figure 5: Great Lakes Study area including Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New York, Ohio,Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Minnesota.Source:www.amaps.com/, by permission.Impact Procedures and Input Assumptions. There are two components to theIMPLAN system, the software and databases. The databases provide all information tocreate regional IMPLAN models. The software performs the calculations and providesan interface for the user to make final demand changes.27
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Mission StatementThe Great Lakes Ma
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Technical Report Documentation1. Re
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TABLE OF CONTENTSOverview and Backg
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Overview and Background:During Marc
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Advisory Board:One of the first tas
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University of MichiganDr. Armin Tro
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Specific Project Awards to Universi
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- October 8, 2005 GLMRI Affiliate U
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- October 7, 2006 The 2 nd GLMRI Af
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SeawaySized Bulk Carrier Model fo
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Table of Contentspage1. Introductio
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List of FigurespageFigure 2.1: Typi
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2. BackgroundThe initial Sea Grant
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Figure 2.2: Typical Forward Plenum
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Table 3.1: BallastFree Bulk Carri
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4. Model Construction ConstraintsTh
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6. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CF
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Figure 6.3: Velocity Vectors at the
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8. Model ConstructionThe model of t
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9. Potential Economic Impacts of th
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Expanding Regional Freight Informat
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Workshop participants also effectiv
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information to share with governmen
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Most of this information has been c
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A New Perspective on Information De
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• Assemble data and report inform
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Looking Ahead: Next StepsThe main o
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Again, according to MISNA, the mari
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References Cited[1] Maritime Inform
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Schematic Diagram of the Structure
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Example 1: Basic Mapping FunctionsF
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Figure B.7User now queries the port
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Example 3: Mapping the NetworkFigur
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APPENDIX CCode Specifications for G
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Michigan: 01 Alpena 19 Marine C
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APPENDIX DMeeting Participants in t
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Tax Systems and Barriersto Great La
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The HMT Generates Substantially Mor
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vii
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paid by the now terminated Incan Su
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Chapter 1: Introduction1.1 Research
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presentation, “A Transportation I
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− United States General Accountin
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− Short Sea Vessel Service and Ha
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Detailed views of these data presen
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Guarantee Fee for MARAD'sTitle XI P
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Table 2.4: Great Lakes Assessments
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Table 2.10: Duty Assessments on Gre
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Certification Fee for Payment of Ve
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6) HMT TablesAs noted above and in
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Table 2.14: Total Bid Dollars by Co
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2003 Arcadia Harbor, Mi $33,2462003
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Chapter 3: The U.S. Harbor Maintena
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providing for - (1) revenue from im
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Community’s RC. No panel has been
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evenue to fund current and future h
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The Support for Harbor Investment P
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Table 3.3: Percent Change in U.S. F
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Harbor Maintenance Tax Time Line198
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Table 4.3: Output ImpactIndustry Di
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ReferencesChapter 1[1] Stewart, Ric
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[31] United States V. United States
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[66] American Association of Port A
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Appendix A: Tax Inventory DataSourc
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Overview of Maritime Tax Inventory
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31 U.S.C. 9701; P.L. 100-710, 46 C.
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Merchant Marine Act of 1936 as amen
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Page 177 and 178: Alternatives to Petroleum Based Fue
Page 179 and 180: Table of ContentsExecutive Summary
Page 181 and 182: Table 4.10:Great Lakes Biodiesel Pl
Page 183 and 184: of a longterm lowtemperature st
Page 185 and 186: Chapter 1: Overview1.1 Introduction
Page 187 and 188: Chapter 2: Biodiesel: An Alternativ
Page 189 and 190: 2.2.2 Properties of BiodieselThe pr
Page 191 and 192: e renewable fuels (e.g. ethanol and
Page 193 and 194: 2.4 Engine Test DataSummaries of th
Page 195 and 196: OEM manufacturer should be consulte
Page 197 and 198: A review of the literature addressi
Page 199 and 200: credit and a biodiesel mixture cred
Page 201 and 202: Figure 2: U.S. Diesel DemandMoving
Page 203 and 204: Demand Forecast. Table 3.4 below sh
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Page 207 and 208: Minnesota incentivesTable 3.11: Min
Page 209: Figure 3: Glycerin as Market RiskSo
Page 213 and 214: Definitions used in this report:Mea
Page 215 and 216: column shows that in Year 1 of cons
Page 217 and 218: Operations. Tables below show the e
Page 219 and 220: When operations for the biodiesel p
Page 221 and 222: verify that separation of the blend
Page 223 and 224: was considered the hot topic, very
Page 225 and 226: ReferencesChapter 1No referencesCha
Page 227 and 228: http://www.irs.gov/publications/p37
Page 229 and 230: Appendix A: Demand and Supply Suppo
Page 231 and 232: Table A2: Minnesota Soybean Produ
Page 233 and 234: Table A6: Marine Diesel Sales, Co
Page 236: Table of ContentsSections Page #1.
Page 239 and 240: 2. Introduction: Background and Obj
Page 241 and 242: 3. MethodsThe LLO has a surveygra
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Page 247 and 248: Figure 7. Single track (detailed) s
Page 249 and 250: Figure 10. Detailed multibeam bathy
Page 251 and 252: 5. Potential Economic Impacts of th
Page 253 and 254: Final Report: Great Lakes Maritime
Page 255 and 256: Evaluation Measures and ResultsTo e
Page 257 and 258: Appendix ASummary of Publicity & Re
Page 259 and 260: Appendix BGreat Lakes Maritime Tran
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Appendix DGreat Lakes Maritime Tran
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REFERENCESDuluth Port Authority. 20
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Steel Starts Here (12:00 minutes) b
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Appendix FGreat Lakes Shipping: Did
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15. What are the top 3 products shi
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Properly Loaded Ship Listing ShipHO
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FoghornGreenhouse gasGroundedHarbor
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15 MB - Great Lakes Maritime Research Institute

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