Housing Needs Assessment 2006 - Westminster City Council

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Westminster – Housing Needs Assessment 2006B: BACKLOG OF EXISTING NEEDTable 10.1 Basic Needs Assessment ModelElement Notes Final number1. Backlog need existinghouseholds2. minus cases where in-situsolution most appropriate3. times proportion unable to affordto buy or rent in marketNumber of households currentlyliving in unsuitable housingIn situ (or outside the City) solutionmost appropriate for 9,576households82.0% = 1,488 – also remove 901social renting tenants11,390Leaves 1,8144. plus Backlog (non-households) Homeless = 1,141 1,1415. equals total Backlog need 1,7286. times quota to progressivelyreduce backlog7. equals annual need to reduceBacklogN: NEWLY ARISING NEED8. New household formation(gross, p.a.)9. times proportion unable to buy orrent in market10. plus ex-institutional populationmoving into community11. plus existing households fallinginto need12. plus in-migrant householdsunable to afford market housing587Suggest 20% as in ODPM report 20%346100.0% cannot afford market housing Leaves 3333522,0133,95113. equals Newly arising need 9+10+11+12 6,049S: SUPPLY OF AFFORDABLE UNITS14. Supply of social relets p.a.15. minus increased vacancies &units taken out of management16. plus committed units of newaffordable supply p.a.Excludes transfers within socialrented stock and includes ‘relets’ ofshared ownershipLetting opportunities lostLetting opportunities gained17. equals affordable supply 14-15+16 77418. Overall shortfall/surplus 396+5,874-774 (per annum) 5,621NB Elimination of the backlog over a five-year period is recommended in the Guide. However,the Council can make a policy decision to do so over a longer period.Source: City of Westminster Housing Needs Survey 2006789-15PAGE 92
10. Basic needs assessment model10.3 The City of Westminster situation in contextAs Fordham Research has carried out about a hundred borough-wide housing needs assessmentssince the ODPM Guide was published in 2000, it is possible to provide reasonable indicative levelsfor the typical levels of affordable housing or shortage found across Britain.In order to ‘standardise’ the levels of need/shortage for local authorities of widely varying scale, theshortfall/surplus of affordable housing has been divided by the numbers of thousands of householdsin the Council area.The value for the City of Westminster is a shortfall of 51 per 1,000 (calculated as (5,621/109,180)×1,000). As can be seen, this figure is well above the national average of a shortage of 16 and theaverage for the Inner London of a shortage of 32.Figure 10.1 Typical levels of need for new affordable housingWestminsterInner LondonOuter LondonSouth WestSouth EastUnited KingdomEastScotland & WalesWest MidlandsNorthEast Midlands4899121716162732510 10 20 30 40 50 60Affordable housing requiremement/000 householdsSource: City of Westminster Housing Needs Survey 200610.4 Size requirements and sub-areasOverall the survey suggests a shortfall of affordable housing in the City. However, it is alsoimportant to look at what type of shortfalls exists within the current stock of affordable housing.This is recognised in the ODPM guidance.PAGE 93
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CITY OF WESTMINSTER2006 HOUSING NEE
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Westminster - Housing Needs Assessm
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First Surveys MarketResearch13 Darw
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A12. Where do you and your partner
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D SPECIAL NEEDSD1. Do you or any of
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edroom(s)F5. How many bedrooms woul
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a) b)Like ExpectDetached house.....
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Housing Needs Assessment 2006 - Westminster City Council

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