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Economic Report of the President 1994 - The American Presidency ...

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forts to cut <strong>the</strong> massive Federal budget deficit leave little room forfiscal expansion to stimulate economic growth. Second, many defensefirms and workers are more isolated from commercial marketpractice than during earlier builddowns, because <strong>the</strong> defense procurementsystem that has evolved over time has erected a wall betweencommercial sectors and defense. Third, technological innovationand <strong>the</strong> economic growth it generates may be hard hit by <strong>the</strong>defense retrenchment, because nearly 60 percent <strong>of</strong> Federal supportfor domestic R&D was defense related and because roughlyone-fifth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Nation's engineers work in defense-related areas.<strong>The</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cold war was an unanticipated event with seriouseconomic consequences for several domestic economic sectors. OurNation has long accepted a collective responsibility to ease <strong>the</strong>transition for those most heavily affected by major economicshocks, for example by providing unemployment insurance and disasterrelief. This principle readily extends to transitional assistancewhen <strong>the</strong> shock results from a large and unanticipated structuraleconomic change, particularly when government is effectively <strong>the</strong>agent <strong>of</strong> that change.For workers, <strong>the</strong> problem <strong>of</strong> large, regionally concentrated economicdislocations is made worse by a capital market imperfection.It is <strong>of</strong>ten difficult for workers to borrow for retraining and relocationbecause <strong>the</strong>ir human capital cannot serve as collateral. Suchcapital market transactions are particularly difficult to arrange forpeople who have just lost a job or who have incurred a capital losson <strong>the</strong>ir home—a frequent consequence <strong>of</strong> geographically concentrateddefense cuts. Moreover, dislocated workers may have adifficult time learning about job opportunities in o<strong>the</strong>r regions oroccupations.Defense conversion is also difficult for firms. Although many defensecontractors have access to knowledge, production facilities,and skilled workers that could be valuable if channeled to commercialapplications, <strong>the</strong> many years spent designing <strong>the</strong>ir organizationsto serve <strong>the</strong> needs <strong>of</strong> one customer—<strong>the</strong> Defense Department—<strong>of</strong>tenleave <strong>the</strong>m without crucial skills or <strong>the</strong> right organizationalconfiguration to serve <strong>the</strong> commercial marketplace. To <strong>the</strong>extent that <strong>the</strong>se firms lack internal funds to finance new investment,and to <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>the</strong>y are unable credibly to demonstrate tolenders and o<strong>the</strong>r capital providers <strong>the</strong>ir potential to serve o<strong>the</strong>rlines <strong>of</strong> business, <strong>the</strong>se resources will not be able to move to <strong>the</strong>irmost efficient uses.<strong>The</strong> Administration's 5-year, $22 billion Defense Reinvestmentand Conversion Initiative addresses <strong>the</strong>se problems <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> post-coldwar transition.Workers. <strong>The</strong> initiative provides $5 billion over 5 years for workeradjustment, including funding for retraining displaced defense202

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