Economic Report of the President 1994 - The American Presidency ...

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TABLE B-63.—Changes in consumer price indexes for commodities and services, 1929-93[For all urban consumers; percent change]YearAll items(CPI-U)Dec.toDec 1YeartoyearCommoditiesTotalDec.toDec. 1YeartoyearFoodDec.toDec 1YeartoyearServicesTotalDectoDec 1YeartoyearMedical careDec.toDec 1YeartoyearMedicalcare 2Dec.toDec 1YeartoyearEnergy3Dec.toDec 1Yeartoyear1929 ...1933....1939....1940....1941....1942...1943....1944....0.6-5.12.56.91.2-2.8194519461947194819491950...1951...1952...1953...1954...195519561957195819591960196119621963196419651966196719681969197019711972197319741975197619771978197919801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993.79.99.03.02.32.218.18.83.0-2.15.96.0.8.7-.7.43.02.91.81.71.4.71.31.61.01.93.53.04.76.25.63.33.48.712.36.94.96.79.013.312.58.93.83.83.93.81.14.44.44.66.13.12.92.7-1.4.75.010.96.11.72.38.314.48.1-1.21.37.91.9.8.7— 41.53.32.8.71.71.01.01.31.31.62.93.14.25.55.74.43.26.211.09.15.86.57.611.313.510.36.23.24.33.61.93.64.14.85.44.23.03.0-0.71.413.312.94.22.02.924.810.31.7-4.17.85.9_ 9-.32.62.81.2.61.20.91.5.91.42.52.54.05.43.92.83.410.412.86.23.36.18.813.011.06.03.62.92.72.5-2.04.63.84.16.61.22.01.5-2.0.76.714.59.31.03.010.620.57.2-2.7.79.01.3-.3-.9-.91.03.22.10.9.6.9.91.21.12.61.93.54.74.53.63.07.411.98.84.35.87.211.312.38.44.12.93.42.1_ g3^23.54.75.23.12.01.9-2.52.515.717.93.003.531.311.3-.8-3.99.87.1-1.0-1.1-1.8-.72.92.82.4-1.03.1-.71.32.01.33.54.01.24.47.02.34.34.620.312.06.6.58.111.810.210.24.33.12.73.82.63.83.55.25.65.31.91.52.9-2.51.79.217.611.0-1.22.414.521.78.3-4.21.611.01.8-1.4-.4-1.4.73.24.5-1.71.01.3.71.61.32.25.0.93.55.15.73.14.214.514.38.53.06.39.911.08.67.84.12.13.82.33.24.14.15.85.82.91.22.22.42.32.32.2.73.65.65.93.73.65.24.44.22.02.03.44.22.73.92.52.11.62.41.62.74.84.35.87.78.14.13.46.211.48.27.28.09.313.614.213.04.34.85.45.14.54.34.85.15.74.63.63.83.12.32.21.51.44.36.15.13.05.34.54.33.12.02.54.33.73.13.41.72.02.02.02.33.84.35.26.98.05.73.84.49.29.68.37.78.611.015.413.19.03.55.25.15.04.24.64.95.55.13.93.91.201.23.55.63.23.19.06.46.91.64.05.35.83.42.63.23.84.84.64.93.73.52.92.82.33.68.38.07.17.38.15.43.76.013.210.310.89.09.310.510.112.611.26.25.86.87.95.66.98.69.98.07.05.91.2003.54.54.33.15.18.77.13.32.44.76.73.53.42.63.84.35.34.54.33.63.52.92.33.25.38.87.38.27.07.43.54.510.412.610.19.98.59.811.310.711.88.76.06.17.76.66.47.79.38.97.66.51.001.03.84.62.62.68.36.95.81.43.45.84.33.52.33.33.24.74.53.83.23.12.22.52.12.86.76.36.26.27.44.63.35.312.69.810.08.98.810.19.912.511.06.46.16.87.75.86.98.59.67.96.65.41.002.94.73.62.65.08.06.72.82.05.35.03.62.92.23.84.24.64.43.72.72.62.62.12.44.47.26.06.76.66.23.34.09.312.09.59.68.49.211.010.711.68.86.26.37.56.66.57.79.08.77.45.9-0.94.71.3-1.32.2-.901.81.71.71.72.94.83.12.617.021.611.47.17.27.937.518.011.91.3.21.8-19.78.218.1-7.42.0-1.401.92.3.4.40-.41.81.72.11.72.52.83.92.68.129.610.57.19.56.325.130.913.61.5.71.0.7-13.25.68.3.4.51.21 Changes from December to December are based on unadjusted indexes.2 Commodities and services.3 Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc. also included through 1982.Note.—See Note, Table B-59.Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.340
TABLE B-64.—Producer price indexes by stage of processing, 1947-93[1982 = 100]Finished goodsYear or monthTotalfinishedgoodsTotalConsumer foodsCrudeTotalFinished goods excluding consumer foodsTotalConsumer goodsDurableProcessedNondurableCapitalequipmentTntalfinishedconsumergoods194726.4 31.9 39.3 31.127.4 32.9 24.2 19.8 28.6194828 5 34 9 42 4 34 029 2 35 2 25 7 21.6 30.8194927.7 32.1 40.1 31.128.6 36.1 24.7 22.7 29.4195028.2 32.7 36.5 32.429.0 36.5 25.1 23.2 29.9195130.8 36.7 41.9 36.231.1 38.9 27.0 25.5 32.7195230.6 36.4 44.6 35.430.7 39.2 26.3 25.9 32.3195330.3 34.5 41.6 33.631.0 39.5 26.6 26.3 31.7195430 4 34 2 37 5 34 0311 39 8 26 7 26 7 31.7195530.5 33.4 39.1 32.731.3 40.2 26.8 27.4 31.51956313 33 3 391 32 7321 416 27.3 29 5 32.0195732.5 34.4 38.5 34.132.9 42.8 27.9 31.3 32.9195833 2 36 5 410 36132 9 43 4 27.8 32 1 33.6195933.1 34.8 37.3 34.733.3 43.9 28.2 32.7 33.3196033.4 35.5 39.8 35.233.5 43.8 28.4 32.8 33.6196133.4 35.4 38.0 35.333.4 43.6 28.4 32.9 33.6196233.5 35.7 38.4 35.633.4 43.4 28.4 33.0 33.71963 .. ..33.4 35.3 37.8 35.233.4 43.1 28.5 33.1 33.5196433 5 35 4 38 9 35 233 3 43 3 28 4 33 4 33.6196534.1 36.8 39.0 36.833.6 43.2 28.8 33.8 34.2196635 2 39 2 415 39 234 1 43 4 29.3 34 6 35.4196735.6 38.5 39.6 38.8 35.0 34.7 44.1 30.0 35.8 35.6196836.6 40.0 42.5 40.0 35.9 35.5 45.1 30.6 37.0 36.5196938.0 42.4 45.9 42.3 36.9 36.3 45.9 31.5 38.3 37.9197039.3 43.8 46.0 43.9 38.2 37.4 47.2 32.5 40.1 39.1197140.5 44.5 45.8 44.7 39.6 38.7 48.9 33.5 41.7 40.2197241.8 46.9 48.0 47.2 40.4 39.4 50.0 34.1 42.8 41.5197345.6 56.5 63.6 55.8 42.0 41.2 50.9 36.1 44.2 46.0197452 6 64 4 716 63 9 48 8 48 2 55 5 44.0 50 5 53.1197558.2 69.8 71.7 70.3 54.7 53.2 61.0 48.9 58.2 58.2197660.8 69.6 76.7 69.0 58.1 56.5 63.7 52.4 62.1 60.4197764.7 73.3 79.5 12.1 62.2 60.6 67.4 56.8 66.1 64.3197869 8 79 9 85 8 79 4 66 7 64 9 73 6 60.0 71.3 69.4197977.6 87.3 92.3 86.8 74.6 73.5 80.8 69.3 77.5 77.5198088 0 92 4 93 9 92 3 86 7 87 1 910 85.1 85.8 88.6198196.1 97.8 104.4 97.2 95.6 96.1 96.4 95.8 94.6 96.61982 . ..100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.01983101.6 101.0 102.4 100.9 101.8 101.2 102.8 100.5 102.8 101.31984103.7 105.4 111.4 104.9 103.2 102.2 104.5 101.1 105.2 103.31985104.7 104.6 102.9 104.8 104.6 103.3 106.5 101.7 107.5 103.81986103.2 107.3 105.6 107.4 101.9 98.5 108.9 93.3 109.7 101.41987105.4 109.5 107.1 109.6 104.0 100.7 111.5 94.9 111.7 103.61988108.0 112.6 109.8 112.7 106.5 103.1 113.8 97.3 114.3 106.21989113.6 118.7 . 119.6 118.6 111.8 108.9 117.6 103.8 118.8 112.11990119.2 124.4 123.0 124.4 117.4 115.3 120.4 111.5 122.9 118.219911217 124 1 119 3 124 4 120 9 118.7 123.9 115.0 126.7 120.51992123 2 123 3 107 6 124 4 1231 120 8 125.7 117.3 129.1 121.71993124.7 125.7 114.3 126.5 124.4 121.7 128.1 117.6 131.4 123.01992-Jan121.8 122.5 109.7 123.4 121.5 118.8 125.8 114.4 128.6 120.0Feb122 1 123 4 118 7 123 7 1216 118.8 125.5 114.6 128.7 120.3Mar122.2 123.3 115.8 123.8 121.8 119.0 125.8 114.8 128.9 120.4Apr122.4 122.8 105.2 124.0 122.3 119.6 125.6 115.7 129.1 120.7May .. .123.2 123.1 98.6 124.8 123.1 120.9 125.6 117.5 129.0 121.7June123 9 123 1 96 3 125 1 124 0 1221 125.2 119.5 128.9 122.6July123.7 122.8 97.3 124.7 123.8 122.0 125.4 119.2 128.8 122.4Aug123.6 123.4 104.5 124.8 123.5 121.5 125.1 118.6 128.9 122.2Sept123 3 123.3 104 6 124 7 123 2 121.4 123.4 119.3 128.1 122.2Oct124.4 123.8 113.0 124.6 124.5 122.3 127.1 118.9 130.2 122.9Nov124.0 123.4 110.4 124.3 124.1 121.7 127.1 118.1 130.2 122.4Dec123.8 124.2 117.4 124.7 123.6 121.1 126.9 117.2 130.2 122.21993-Jan124 2 124 3 114 8 125 0 124 0 1214 127.2 117.6 130.8 122.5Feb124.5 124.5 114.5 125.2 124.4 121.8 127.6 117.9 131.1 122.8Mar124.7 124.8 113.8 125.6 124.6 122.1 127.6 118.4 131.2 123.1Apr .125.5 126.5 126.5 126.5 125.1 122.7 127.9 119.1 131.2 124.0May125.8 126.9 125.2 127.0 125.4 123.3 127.8 119.9 131.2 124.5June125.5 125.4 102.3 127.1 125.5 123.4 127.7 120.1 131.0 124.1July125.3 125.0 100.7 126.8 125.3 123.0 127.9 119.5 131.3 123.8Aug 1124 2 125 4 107 4 126 7 123 8 120.9 127.9 116.6 131.2 122.4Sept123.9 125.6 107.9 126.9 123.3 120.6 126.4 116.8 130.3 122.2Oct124 7 125 5 105 6 126 9 124 3 1212 129.2 116.5 132.4 122.6Nov124.4 126.7 123.0 127.0 123.7 120.3 129.7 114.9 132.5 122.3Dec124.1 127.2 129.7 126.9 123.1 119.4 129.7 113.6 132.7 121.8Ii1 Data have been revised through August 1993 to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data aresubject to revision 4 months after original publication.See next page for continuation of table.341
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S : Sf:' ;: W^W't-^WW': ;, S 4 Si :
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unitedminds
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Economic Report of the PresidentTo
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the Technology Reinvestment Project
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formed health care system, increase
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CONTENTSPageCHAPTER 1. A STRATEGY F
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PageProviding Comprehensive Benefit
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LIST OF CHARTS—CONTINUEDPage3-5 L
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CHAPTER 1A Strategy for Growth and
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which have left consumers and busin
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that growth in both real compensati
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for inflation was on average roughl
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Box 1-2.—Saving, Investment, and
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investments in human capital; inves
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of the income distribution (Table 1
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Box 1-3.—Credible Deficit Reducti
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Chart 1-7 Correlation of Investment
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Box 1~4*~-A Balanced Budget Amendme
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This educational record is not good
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fallen markedly since the 1960s (Ch
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The development and deployment of n
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Earlier rounds of GATT talks had fo
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Chart 1-10 Projected Real Growth Ra
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are therefore on the public dole. M
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prise communities and be granted sm
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ingredient that should allow the ec
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Chart 2-2 National Defense Purchase
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Chart 2-3 Growth of U.S. Merchandis
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Chart 2-5 Households: Credit Market
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THE HEADWINDS ARE MOSTLY CALMINGAs
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1993, real consumer spending increa
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RESIDENTIAL INVESTMENTResidential i
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smallest annual increase in 20 year
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ments with the Internal Revenue Ser
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safe-harbor rules for underpayment
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Chart 2-9 Alternative Measures of t
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Meanwhile, the Mountain States were
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inflation is measured by the Blue C
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Saving, Investment, and Capital Acc
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the future should be reflected in l
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Chart 2-15 Dynamic Effects of Defic
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joyed healthy average real GDP grow
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Chart 2-16 Personal Income Taxes as
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TABLE 2-2.— Administration Foreca
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TABLE 2-3.— Accounting for Growth
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CHAPTER 3Trends and Recent Developm
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first quarter of 1991, nonfarm payr
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cause defense cutbacks have caused
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UNEMPLOYMENT AND NONEMPLOYMENTThe U
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Chart 3-3 Civilian Unemployment Rat
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Chart 3-6 Employment-to-Population
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Chart 3-8 Ratio of White-Collar to
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than would be expected given its hi
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that the natural rate is falling? M
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SLOW INCOME GROWTHIncome trends hav
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Chart 3-10 Average Annual Growth of
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Box 3-3.—Consequences of Producti
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likely that immigration could expla
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We do, however, know how many worke
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size. No data are available on vola
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BENEFITSOne of the concerns raised
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edented partnership to develop a nu
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CHAPTER 4Health Care ReformTHE UNIT
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make cost-conscious decisions. In a
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A third rationale for universal cov
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Box 4-1.—Moral Hazard and Adverse
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ies depending on one's health statu
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than people in other countries do,
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sumers are ill equipped to bring st
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By itself, the aging of the populat
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TABLE 4-3.- Sources and Uses of Hea
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about 65 to 70 cents for a typical
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THE ARCHITECTURE OF THE HEALTHSECUR
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etary savings for the Federal Gover
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contribution, within limits. Outsid
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salary income, payments from the em
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TABLE 4-6.—Caps on Premiums by Fi
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An example will illustrate the proc
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TABLE 4-9.—Sources and Uses of Fe
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Chart 4-9 Business Spending on Heal
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Health care reform should set the s
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and private sectors, addressing env
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Box 5-1.—Selected National Perfor
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Box 5-2*—Market PowerFirms are sa
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ate regulation. For example, State
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competitiveness of U.S. industry, a
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Box 5-4.—ExternalitiesAn external
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in the habitat of the spotted owl r
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CLIMATE CHANGE ACTION PLANCertain g
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eral, lays a foundation for broader
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The Administration's proposal seeks
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vances in technical know-how have a
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Investments in R&D are risky. Like
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1950s and 1960s, and American compa
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ico and Lawrence Livermore in Calif
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of industry. MOCs will be affiliate
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tiveness. Again, the hoped-for resu
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forts to cut the massive Federal bu
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TECHNOLOGY POLICY, GROWTH, ANDCOMPE
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mitment to an open international tr
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ses, which take such intersectoral
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An important sectoral development i
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TABLE 6-3.—Stock of U.S. Outward
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technical change has been offered a
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ent account is a broader measure of
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TABLE 6-6.—Intrafirm Trade as Sha
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greater access to the Japanese mark
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the transparency of its trade regim
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that if the states of the former So
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Box 6-3.—Mexican Economic Reforms
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1998, while nontariff barriers on a
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ward convergence in environmental a
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Box 6-4.—The Asian "Miracle"Per c
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Box 6-5.—The Economic Impact of t
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development, and environmental clea
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THE TRADE POLICY AGENDABy lowering
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ignated monopolies. It also establi
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The dollar ended 1993 roughly where
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Box 6-7.—Exchange-Rate Volatility
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Chart 6-5 French Franc-Deutsche Mar
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Besides bringing these endeavors to
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LETTER OF TRANSMITTALCOUNCIL OF ECO
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Report to the President on the Acti
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duction budget package, the North A
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Working Group studying cost-benefit
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prepares the Economic Indicators an
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Appendix BSTATISTICAL TABLES RELATI
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POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT, WAGES, AND
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AGRICULTURE:PageB-96. Farm income,
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NATIONAL INCOME OR EXPENDITURETABLE
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TABLE B-2.—Gross domestic product
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TABLE B-3.—Implicit price deflato
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TABLE B-4.—Fixed-weighted price i
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TABLE B-5.—Changes in gross domes
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TABLE B-7.—Cross domestic product
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TABLE B-9.—Gross domestic product
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TABLE B-ll.—Gross domestic produc
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TABLE B-13.—Gross domestic produc
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TABLE B-15.—Personal consumption
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TABLE B-17.—Gross and net private
Page 296 and 297: TABLE B-19.—Inventories and final
Page 298 and 299: TABLE B-21.—Foreign transactions
Page 300 and 301: TABLE B-23.—Relation of gross dom
Page 302 and 303: TABLE B-25.—National income by ty
Page 304 and 305: TABLE B-26.—Sources of personal i
Page 306 and 307: TABLE B-27.—Disposition of person
Page 308 and 309: TABLE B-29.—Gross sating and inve
Page 310 and 311: TABLE B-31.—Median money income (
Page 312 and 313: TABLE B-33.—Population and the la
Page 314 and 315: TABLE B-34.—Civilian employment a
Page 316 and 317: TABLE B-36.—Unemployment by demog
Page 318 and 319: TABLE B-38.—Civilian labor force
Page 320 and 321: TABLE B-40.—Civilian unemployment
Page 322 and 323: TABLE B-42.—Unemployment by durat
Page 324 and 325: TABLE B-44.—Employees on nonagric
Page 326 and 327: TABLE B-45.—Hours and earnings in
Page 328 and 329: TABLE B-47.—Productivity and rela
Page 330 and 331: PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITYTAB
Page 332 and 333: TABLE B-51.—Industrial production
Page 334 and 335: TABLE B-53.—New construction acti
Page 336 and 337: TABLE B-54.—New housing units sta
Page 338 and 339: Year or monthTABLE B-56.—Manufact
Page 340 and 341: TABLE B-58.—Manufacturers' new an
Page 342 and 343: TABLE B-60.—Consumer price indexe
Page 344 and 345: TABLE B-61.—Consumer price indexe
Page 348 and 349: TABLE B-64.—Producer price indexe
Page 350 and 351: TABLE B-66.—Producer price indexe
Page 352 and 353: TABLE B-67.—Changes in producer p
Page 354 and 355: TABLE B-69.—Components of money s
Page 356 and 357: TABLE B-70.—Aggregate reserves of
Page 358 and 359: TABLE B-72.—Bond yields and inter
Page 360 and 361: TABLE B-73.—Total funds raised in
Page 362 and 363: TABLE B-74.—Mortgage debt outstan
Page 364 and 365: TABLE B-76.—Consumer credit outst
Page 366 and 367: TABLE B-78.—Federal receipts, out
Page 368 and 369: TABLE B-79.—Federal budget receip
Page 370 and 371: TABLE B-81.—Federal and State and
Page 372 and 373: TABLE B-83.—State and local gover
Page 374 and 375: TABLE B-85.—Interest-bearing publ
Page 376 and 377: TABLE B-87.—Estimated ownership o
Page 378 and 379: TABLE B-89.—Corporate profits by
Page 380 and 381: TABLE B-91.—Sales, profits, and s
Page 382 and 383: TABLE B-93.—Sources and uses of f
Page 384 and 385: TABLE B-95.—Business formation an
Page 386 and 387: 19481949195019511952195319541955195
Page 388 and 389: TABLE B-99.—Indexes of prices rec
Page 390 and 391: TABLE B-101.— Farm business balan
Page 392 and 393: TABLE B-103.—U.S. international t
Page 394 and 395: TABLE B-104.—U.S. merchandise exp
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TABLE B-106.—U.S. merchandise exp
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TABLE B-108.—Industrial productio
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TABLE B-110.—Foreign exchange rat
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NATIONAL WEALTHTABLE B-l 12.—Nati
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SUPPLEMENTARY TABLETABLE B-114.—S
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