TABLE B-7.—Cross domestic product by major type <strong>of</strong> product, 1959-93[Billions <strong>of</strong> dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]Year orquarter19591960196119621963196419651966196719681969197019711972197319741975197619771978197919801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993"1982: IV1983: IV1984: IV1985: IV1986: IV1987: IV1988: IV1989: IV1990:1 IIIllIV1991:1 IIIllIV1992:1IIIllIV1993:1 IIIllIVGrossdomesticproduct494.2513.3531.8571.6603.1648.0702.7769.8814.3889.3959.51,010.71,097.21,207.01,349.61,458.61,585.91,768.41 974.12,232.72,488.62,708.03,030.63,149.63,405.03,777.24,038.74,268.64,539.94,900.45,250.85,546.15,722.96,038.56,374.03,195.13,547.33,869.14,140.54,336.64,683.05,044.65,344.85,461.95,540.95,583.85,597.95,631.75,697.75,758.65,803.75,908.75,991.46,059.56,194.46,261.66,327.66,395.96,510.8Finalsales <strong>of</strong>domesticproduct490.0510.1528.9565.5597.5643.0693.0756.0803.8880.2949.81,008.41,089.21,197.11,331.91,444.41,591.51,751.71,949.42,204.82,475.92,717.53,005.23,165.53,410.63,706.14,014.14,260.04,513.74,884.25,217.55,539.35,731.66,031.26,357.23,241.43,527.13,818.14,107.94,355.44,623.75,027.35,314.65,452.45,507.65,575.35,621.85,651.65,720.85,759.15,794.85,913.95,978.66,049.96,182.56,227.16,314.56,388.26,499.0Changeinbusinessinventories4.23.22.96.15.75.09.713.810.59.19.72.38.09.917.714.3-5.716.724.727.912.8-9.525.4-15.9-5.571.124.68.626.316.233.36.9-8.67.316.8-46.320.251.032.6-18.859.317.330.29.633.38.4-23.9-19.9-23.0-.58.9-5.112.99.712.034.613.17.711.7Goods 1TotalTotal250.8257.1260.4281.5293.2313.5342.9380.1395.1427.4456.6467.8493.0537.4616.6662.8715.1798.8880.4989.11,100.21,176.21,324.61,315.01,407.31,591.91,652.61,705.31,794.51,942.02,097.02,185.22,218.42,312.82,419.91,302.21,483.01,617.51,673.71,714.51,865.42,007.02,115.92,164.32,193.42,194.22,189.02,197.82,208.92,229.32,237.62,264.12,291.22,318.32,377.62,397.42,408.12,409.42,464.7Finalsales246.6253.9257.4275.4287.5308.5333.2366.3384.6418.3446.8465.6485.0527.5598.9648.5720.8782.0855.7961.21,087.51,185.71,299.21,330.91,412.81,520.81,628.01,696.71,768.21,925.72,063.62,178.42,227.02,305.52,403.11,348.51,462.81,566.51,641.11 733 31,806.11,989.72,085.72,154.72,160.12,185.82,212.92,217.72,231.92,229.82,228.72,269.32,278.42,308.62,365.62,362.92,395.02,401.72,452.9Changeinbusinessinventories4.23.22.96.15.75.09.713.810.59.19.72.38.09.917.714.3-5.716.724.727.912.8-9.525.4-15.9-5.571.124.68.626.316.233.36.9-8.67.316.8-46.320.251.032.6-18.859.317.330.29.633.38.4-23.9-19.9-23.0-.58.9-5.112.99.712.034.613.17.711.7Durable goodsFinalsales91.193.893.1103.4110.0119.6132.4147.9154.5169.1180.1182.1189.4209.7242.0257.1288.8323.6368.3416.9474.5502.1544.2541.6579.4647.0704.8730.2753.5835.6891.2933.5934.3975.81,034.6550.6620.5676.3705.7751.5769.3861.0893.9944.6926.3932.3931.0921.9940.8938.8935.7953.4963.2978.41,008.31,003.51,037.81,032.91,064.3Changeinbusinessinventories3.11.6-.13.42.74.06.710.25.54.76.4-.12.87.215.011.2-7.010.39.720.39.6-2.66.2-16.05.544.98.61.621.624.325.2-2.1-12.92.013.0-41.125.538.510.9-11.937.135.333.0-4.110.09.8-24.1-32.1-21.03.0-1.5-13.016.75.7-1.215.02.714.819.5Nondurable goodsFinalsales155.5160.1164.3172.0177.5188.9200.8218.5230.2249.1266.8283.5295.5317.8356.9391.4432.0458.4487.4544.3613.0683.6755.0789.3833.4873.8923.2966.51,014.71,090.11,172.51,244.81,292.71,329.61,368.5798.0842.3890.2935.4981.81,036.91,128.71,191.81,210.11,233.81,253.51,281.91,295.91,291.11,291.01,293.01,315.91,315.11,330.21,357.31,359.31,357.11,368.81,388.6Changeinbusinessinventories1.11.63.02.73.01.03.03.65.04.43.32.35.22.72.83.11.36.415.07.63.1-6.819.2.1-11.026.216.07.14.7-8.18.19.04.35.33.8-5.2-5.312.521.7-7.022.2-18.0-2.813.723.3-1.4 .312.2-2.0-3.510.47.9-3.84.013.219.510.4-7.2-7.7Services1181.7195.1208.6223.0238.1256.9276.0302.8330.7363.0395.8434.3477.0523.6571.0631.3706.9782.2870.4975.51,079.61,215.41,357.41,494.21,636.31,770.71,939.02,097.32,267.22,460.92,642.12,849.43,032.73,221.13,409.51,553.31,686.11,824.72,008.92,154.12,327.62,528.52,715.22,767.72,829.02,880.62,920.52,964.83,018.53,057.03,090.43,152.73,196.23,239.33,296.13,341.83,388.13,437.83,470.3Structures61.761.162.867.071.977.683.886.988.598.9107.1108.6127.2145.9161.9164.5163.8187.5223.3268.1308.8316.4348.6340.4361.5414.7447.1466.0478.2497.5511.7511.5471.9504.6544.6339.5378.2426.9457.9468.1490.1509.1513.7530.0518.5509.0488.4469.0470.4472.3475.7491.9504.0501.9520.8522.4531.5548.7575.8Autooutput19.421.317.822.425.125.931.130.227.835.034.728.538.941.445.938.840.355.164.267.966.259.268.365.388.3104.2115.8120.4118.9129.1135.1129.2121.1133.2142.163.2101.9110.4115.1122.5120.9136.1131.0128.4132.1137.6118.8114.2118.7127.8123.5125.6137.9133.0136.4142.8145.9134.6145.11 Exports and imports <strong>of</strong> certain goods, primarily military equipment purchased and sold by <strong>the</strong> Federal Government, are included inservices.Source: Department <strong>of</strong> Commerce, Bureau <strong>of</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> Analysis.278
TABLE B-8.—Cross domestic product by major type <strong>of</strong> product in 1987 dollars, 1959-93[Billions <strong>of</strong> 1987 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]Year orquarter19591960196119621963196419651966196719681969197019711972197319741975197619771978197919801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993"1982: IV1983: IV1984:IV1985: IV1986: IV1987: IV1988: IV1989: IV1990:1IIIllIV1991:1IIIllIV1992:1IIIllIV1993:1IIIllIVGrossdomesticproduct1,928.81,970.82,023.82,128.12,215.62,340.62,470.52,616.22,685.22,796.92,873.02,873.92,955.93,107.13,268.63,248.13,221.73,380.83,533.33,703.53,796.83,776.33,843.13,760.33,906.64,148.54,279.84,404.54,539.94,718.64,838.04,897.34,861.44,986.35,132.73,759.64,012.14,194.24,333.54,427.14,625.54,779.74,856.74,898.34,917.14,906.54,867.24,837.84,855.64,872.64,879.64,922.04,956.54,998.25,068.35,078.25,102.15,138.35,212.1Finalsales <strong>of</strong>domesticproduct1,915.21,962.72,016.62,112.52,199.62,324.92,445.42,579.52,657.52,773.22,848.22,868.02,935.23,084.53,230.93,217.23,235.63,355.33,499.03,666.33,783.23,784.63,818.63,777.83,902.24,080.64,257.64,395.94,513.74,698.64,808.34,891.64,869.84,979.85,117.33,804.53,982.84,146.24,303.34,447.24,565.64,758.74,831.84,893.64,889.04,895.64,888.04,855.24,878.04,873.54,872.54,926.94,943.84,988.65,059.65,048.95,089.15,131.85,199.4Changeinbusinessinventories13.68.17.215.616.015.725.136.727.623.624.85.920.822.537.730.9-13.925.534.337.213.6-8.324.6-17.54.467.922.18.526.319.929.85.7-8.46.515.4-44.929.347.930.2-20.159.920.924.94.728.110.9-20.9-17.4-22.3-.97.1-5.012.69.68.729.313.06.512.7Goods lTotalTotal825.2835.3840.9889.6914.9967.61,033.01,113.31,129.41,168.91,193.91,173.01,182.01,251.01,349.81,328.21,291.81,372.71,436.91,507.31,537.11,509.51,547.41,468.71,531.71,667.71,695.01,740.11,794.51,892.51,961.71,973.21,946.52,005.72,081.31,447.71,597.81,680.91,708.11,741.81,850.81,926.01,956.91,978.01,985.71,975.81,953.51,939.11,937.51,953.31,956.31,967.61,986.62,011.02,057.72,060.22,069.12,074.92,121.0Finalsales811.6827.1833.7874.0898.9952.01,007.91,076.61,101.71,145.31,169.11,167.11,161.31,228.41,312.11,297.31,305.71,347.21,402.61,470.11,523.51,517.71,522.91,486.21,527.31,599.81,672.91,731.61,768.21,872.61,932.01,967.51,954.91,999.22,065.91,492.61,568.51,633.01,677.91,761.81,790.91,905.01,932.01,973.31,957.61,964.91,974.31,956.51,959.81,954.21,949.21,972.61,973.92,001.42,049.02,030.92,056.12,068.52,108.3Changeinbusinessinventories13.68.17.215.616.015.725.136.727.623.624.85.920.822.537.730.9-13.925.534.337.213.6-8.324.6-17.54.467.922.18.526.319.929.85.7-8.46.515.4-44.929.347.930.2-20.159.920.924.94.728.110.9-20.9-17.4-22.3-.97.1-5.012.69.68.729.313.06.512.7Durable goodsFinalsales273.8277.8273.5296.5310.4334.3364.1399.4413.7430.4438.4428.0419.2458.4528.0524.6521.6540.6583.6623.7654.1626.4619.4578.9601.5655.1703.4731.5753.5833.1868.1893.1878.9911.7968.1580.9639.4677.6703.1750.4769.4852.9862.3907.5889.9889.2885.7871.8885.6881.1877.1891.3897.6915.2942.6938.2964.9968.71,000.7Changeinbusinessinventories8.64.6-.38.67.511.318.327.114.512.815.7-.98.916.231.219.6-11.517.015.628.711.7-4.36.3-16.06.345.79.31.921.623.323.8-1.9-12.02.412.3-41.926.739.711.9-11.936.933.531.0-3.99.89.1-22.4-28.5-19.72.3-2.0-11.615.66.3-.813.03.913.918.3Nondurable goodsFinalsales537.8549.3560.2577.5588.5617.6643.8677.2688.0714.9730.7739.1742.1770.0784.1772.7784.1806.6819.0846.4869.3891.4903.4907.3925.8944.7969.51,000.11,014.71,039.51,063.91,074.51,076.01,087.61,097.8911.6929.1955.3974.91,011.41,021.51,052.21,069.61,065.81,067.71,075.71,088.61,084.61,074.21,073.11,072.11,081.31,076.31,086.21,106.41,092.71,091.11,099.81,107.6Changeinbusinessinventories5.03.57.57.08.64.46.99.613.110.99.16.911.96.46.511.3-2.58.518.78.51.9-4.018.3-1.5-1.822.312.96.74.7-3.46.07.53.64.13.1-3.02.68.318.3-8.223.0-12.5-6.18.618.31.81.511.1-2.6-3.29.06.6-2.93.39.616.39.1-7.4-5.6Services1843.7877.3916.7956.8999.91,052.61,102.11,168.41,226.61,277.81,324.61,362.01,401.81,454.11,508.31,553.91,602.21,649.11,701.21,770.61,821.71,864.31,895.71,922.81,976.82,033.12,115.32,185.02,267.22,349.72,403.92,464.52,495.92,534.72,586.21,942.11,998.32,058.12,148.82,208.22,290.92,372.42,430.02,441.12,464.42,475.12,477.32,481.22,500.92,502.02,499.42,515.12,522.32,544.82,556.52,565.32,577.52,596.72,605.5Structures259.9258.2266.1281.7300.8-320.4335.4334.5329.3350.1354.5338.9372.1401.9410.4366.1327.7359.0395.2425.6438.0402.5400.0368.8398.1447.7469.4479.3478.2476.4472.5459.6419.0445.8465.1369.8416.0455.1476.5477.2483.8481.3469.8479.2467.1455.6436.5417.6417.2417.3423.9439.3447.7442.3454.2452.7455.5466.6485.6Autooutput59.563.853.163.368.969.583.280.472.486.682.965.485.389.998.779.074.896.8106.0104.294.879.186 879.2101.7115.8125.0124.4118.9127.3128.0121.4109.5117.4120.375.3113.7122.4122.4124.1120.3134.6123.8121.4123.9129.9110.3104.5109.0115.1109.5110.9121.8116.8120.1122.5123.4113.5123.71 Exports and imports <strong>of</strong> certain goods, primarily military equipment purchased and sold by <strong>the</strong> Federal Government, are included inservices.Source: Department <strong>of</strong> Commerce, Bureau <strong>of</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> Analysis.279
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S : Sf:' ;: W^W't-^WW': ;, S 4 Si :
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unitedminds
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Economic Report of the PresidentTo
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the Technology Reinvestment Project
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formed health care system, increase
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CONTENTSPageCHAPTER 1. A STRATEGY F
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PageProviding Comprehensive Benefit
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LIST OF CHARTS—CONTINUEDPage3-5 L
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CHAPTER 1A Strategy for Growth and
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which have left consumers and busin
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that growth in both real compensati
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for inflation was on average roughl
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Box 1-2.—Saving, Investment, and
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investments in human capital; inves
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of the income distribution (Table 1
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Box 1-3.—Credible Deficit Reducti
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Chart 1-7 Correlation of Investment
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Box 1~4*~-A Balanced Budget Amendme
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This educational record is not good
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fallen markedly since the 1960s (Ch
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The development and deployment of n
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Earlier rounds of GATT talks had fo
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Chart 1-10 Projected Real Growth Ra
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are therefore on the public dole. M
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prise communities and be granted sm
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ingredient that should allow the ec
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Chart 2-2 National Defense Purchase
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Chart 2-3 Growth of U.S. Merchandis
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Chart 2-5 Households: Credit Market
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THE HEADWINDS ARE MOSTLY CALMINGAs
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1993, real consumer spending increa
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RESIDENTIAL INVESTMENTResidential i
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smallest annual increase in 20 year
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ments with the Internal Revenue Ser
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safe-harbor rules for underpayment
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Chart 2-9 Alternative Measures of t
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Meanwhile, the Mountain States were
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inflation is measured by the Blue C
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Saving, Investment, and Capital Acc
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the future should be reflected in l
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Chart 2-15 Dynamic Effects of Defic
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joyed healthy average real GDP grow
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Chart 2-16 Personal Income Taxes as
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TABLE 2-2.— Administration Foreca
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TABLE 2-3.— Accounting for Growth
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CHAPTER 3Trends and Recent Developm
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first quarter of 1991, nonfarm payr
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cause defense cutbacks have caused
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UNEMPLOYMENT AND NONEMPLOYMENTThe U
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Chart 3-3 Civilian Unemployment Rat
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Chart 3-6 Employment-to-Population
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Chart 3-8 Ratio of White-Collar to
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than would be expected given its hi
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that the natural rate is falling? M
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SLOW INCOME GROWTHIncome trends hav
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Chart 3-10 Average Annual Growth of
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Box 3-3.—Consequences of Producti
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likely that immigration could expla
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We do, however, know how many worke
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size. No data are available on vola
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BENEFITSOne of the concerns raised
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edented partnership to develop a nu
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CHAPTER 4Health Care ReformTHE UNIT
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make cost-conscious decisions. In a
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A third rationale for universal cov
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Box 4-1.—Moral Hazard and Adverse
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ies depending on one's health statu
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than people in other countries do,
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sumers are ill equipped to bring st
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By itself, the aging of the populat
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TABLE 4-3.- Sources and Uses of Hea
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about 65 to 70 cents for a typical
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THE ARCHITECTURE OF THE HEALTHSECUR
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etary savings for the Federal Gover
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contribution, within limits. Outsid
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salary income, payments from the em
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TABLE 4-6.—Caps on Premiums by Fi
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An example will illustrate the proc
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TABLE 4-9.—Sources and Uses of Fe
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Chart 4-9 Business Spending on Heal
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Health care reform should set the s
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and private sectors, addressing env
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Box 5-1.—Selected National Perfor
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Box 5-2*—Market PowerFirms are sa
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ate regulation. For example, State
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competitiveness of U.S. industry, a
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Box 5-4.—ExternalitiesAn external
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in the habitat of the spotted owl r
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CLIMATE CHANGE ACTION PLANCertain g
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eral, lays a foundation for broader
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The Administration's proposal seeks
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vances in technical know-how have a
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Investments in R&D are risky. Like
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1950s and 1960s, and American compa
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ico and Lawrence Livermore in Calif
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of industry. MOCs will be affiliate
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tiveness. Again, the hoped-for resu
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forts to cut the massive Federal bu
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TECHNOLOGY POLICY, GROWTH, ANDCOMPE
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mitment to an open international tr
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ses, which take such intersectoral
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An important sectoral development i
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TABLE 6-3.—Stock of U.S. Outward
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technical change has been offered a
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ent account is a broader measure of
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TABLE 6-6.—Intrafirm Trade as Sha
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greater access to the Japanese mark
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the transparency of its trade regim
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that if the states of the former So
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Box 6-3.—Mexican Economic Reforms
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- Page 242 and 243: development, and environmental clea
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- Page 310 and 311: TABLE B-31.—Median money income (
- Page 312 and 313: TABLE B-33.—Population and the la
- Page 314 and 315: TABLE B-34.—Civilian employment a
- Page 316 and 317: TABLE B-36.—Unemployment by demog
- Page 318 and 319: TABLE B-38.—Civilian labor force
- Page 320 and 321: TABLE B-40.—Civilian unemployment
- Page 322 and 323: TABLE B-42.—Unemployment by durat
- Page 324 and 325: TABLE B-44.—Employees on nonagric
- Page 326 and 327: TABLE B-45.—Hours and earnings in
- Page 328 and 329: TABLE B-47.—Productivity and rela
- Page 330 and 331: PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITYTAB
- Page 332 and 333: TABLE B-51.—Industrial production
- Page 334 and 335:
TABLE B-53.—New construction acti
- Page 336 and 337:
TABLE B-54.—New housing units sta
- Page 338 and 339:
Year or monthTABLE B-56.—Manufact
- Page 340 and 341:
TABLE B-58.—Manufacturers' new an
- Page 342 and 343:
TABLE B-60.—Consumer price indexe
- Page 344 and 345:
TABLE B-61.—Consumer price indexe
- Page 346 and 347:
TABLE B-63.—Changes in consumer p
- Page 348 and 349:
TABLE B-64.—Producer price indexe
- Page 350 and 351:
TABLE B-66.—Producer price indexe
- Page 352 and 353:
TABLE B-67.—Changes in producer p
- Page 354 and 355:
TABLE B-69.—Components of money s
- Page 356 and 357:
TABLE B-70.—Aggregate reserves of
- Page 358 and 359:
TABLE B-72.—Bond yields and inter
- Page 360 and 361:
TABLE B-73.—Total funds raised in
- Page 362 and 363:
TABLE B-74.—Mortgage debt outstan
- Page 364 and 365:
TABLE B-76.—Consumer credit outst
- Page 366 and 367:
TABLE B-78.—Federal receipts, out
- Page 368 and 369:
TABLE B-79.—Federal budget receip
- Page 370 and 371:
TABLE B-81.—Federal and State and
- Page 372 and 373:
TABLE B-83.—State and local gover
- Page 374 and 375:
TABLE B-85.—Interest-bearing publ
- Page 376 and 377:
TABLE B-87.—Estimated ownership o
- Page 378 and 379:
TABLE B-89.—Corporate profits by
- Page 380 and 381:
TABLE B-91.—Sales, profits, and s
- Page 382 and 383:
TABLE B-93.—Sources and uses of f
- Page 384 and 385:
TABLE B-95.—Business formation an
- Page 386 and 387:
19481949195019511952195319541955195
- Page 388 and 389:
TABLE B-99.—Indexes of prices rec
- Page 390 and 391:
TABLE B-101.— Farm business balan
- Page 392 and 393:
TABLE B-103.—U.S. international t
- Page 394 and 395:
TABLE B-104.—U.S. merchandise exp
- Page 396 and 397:
TABLE B-106.—U.S. merchandise exp
- Page 398 and 399:
TABLE B-108.—Industrial productio
- Page 400 and 401:
TABLE B-110.—Foreign exchange rat
- Page 402 and 403:
NATIONAL WEALTHTABLE B-l 12.—Nati
- Page 404:
SUPPLEMENTARY TABLETABLE B-114.—S