Thailand Power Development Plan 2015-2036
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Table 4.6 TOTAL GENERATION REQUIREMENT<br />
(PDP<strong>2015</strong>:Base case)<br />
Peak Energy Load Intensity<br />
Year Increase Increase Factor<br />
MW<br />
GWh<br />
kWh<br />
MW % GWh % % 1000 bahts<br />
Actual : NET Generation<br />
2012 (2555) 26,418.3 2,310 9.58 175,925.1 15,108.8 9.40 75.81 33.34<br />
2013 (2556) 27,084.5 666 2.52 177,543.8 1,618.7 0.92 74.63 32.88<br />
2014 (2557) 27,633.5 549 2.03 182,882.6 5,338.8 3.01 75.34 33.17<br />
Forecast : NET Generation<br />
<strong>2015</strong> (2558) 29,051 1,418 5.13 190,285 7,403 4.05 74.77 33.11<br />
2016 (2559) 30,218 1,167 4.02 197,891 7,605 4.00 74.76 32.98<br />
2017 (2560) 31,385 1,167 3.86 205,649 7,758 3.92 74.80 32.75<br />
2018 (2561) 32,429 1,045 3.33 212,515 6,867 3.34 74.81 32.46<br />
2019 (2562) 33,635 1,206 3.72 220,503 7,987 3.76 74.84 32.35<br />
2020 (2563) 34,808 1,173 3.49 228,238 7,736 3.51 74.85 32.09<br />
2021 (2564) 35,775 967 2.78 234,654 6,416 2.81 74.88 31.67<br />
2022 (2565) 36,776 1,001 2.80 241,273 6,619 2.82 74.89 31.29<br />
2023 (2566) 37,740 964 2.62 247,671 6,398 2.65 74.92 30.88<br />
2024 (2567) 38,750 1,010 2.68 254,334 6,663 2.69 74.93 30.48<br />
2025 (2568) 39,752 1,002 2.59 260,764 6,430 2.53 74.88 30.04<br />
2026 (2569) 40,791 1,039 2.61 267,629 6,865 2.63 74.90 29.67<br />
2027 (2570) 41,693 903 2.21 273,440 5,812 2.17 74.87 29.16<br />
2028 (2571) 42,681 988 2.37 279,939 6,499 2.38 74.87 28.74<br />
2029 (2572) 43,489 807 1.89 285,384 5,445 1.95 74.91 28.26<br />
2030 (2573) 44,424 935 2.15 291,519 6,135 2.15 74.91 27.82<br />
2031 (2574) 45,438 1,013 2.28 298,234 6,715 2.30 74.93 27.41<br />
2032 (2575) 46,296 858 1.89 303,856 5,622 1.89 74.92 26.90<br />
2033 (2576) 47,025 729 1.58 309,021 5,164 1.70 75.02 26.36<br />
2034 (2577) 47,854 829 1.76 314,465 5,444 1.76 75.02 25.84<br />
2035 (2578) 48,713 859 1.79 320,114 5,649 1.80 75.02 25.35<br />
<strong>2036</strong> (2579) 49,655 942 1.93 326,119 6,005 1.88 74.97 24.88<br />
Average Growth<br />
2007 -2011 - 511 2.24 - 4,211 2.80 - 32.05<br />
2012-2016 - 1,390 4.62 - 7,934 4.24 - 33.09<br />
2017-2021 - 1,111 3.43 - 7,353 3.47 - 32.24<br />
2022-2026 - 1,003 2.66 - 6,595 2.66 - 30.44<br />
2027-2031 - 929 2.18 - 6,121 2.19 - 28.24<br />
2032-2033 - 843 1.79 - 5,577 1.80 - 25.83<br />
2014-<strong>2036</strong> - 1,001 2.67 - 6,511 2.68 - 29.04<br />
Remark Purchasing power from VSPP is included. 9 Jan 15<br />
4-6
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