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Thailand Power Development Plan 2015-2036

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Table 4.7 EGAT GENERATION REQUIREMENT<br />

9 Jan <strong>2015</strong> : Base Case<br />

Peak Energy Load<br />

Year Increase Increase Factor<br />

MW<br />

GWh<br />

MW % GWh % %<br />

Actual : NET Generation<br />

2012 (2555) 26,121.1 2,221 9.29 173,205.1 14,335 9.02 75.69<br />

2013 (2556) 26,598.1 477 1.83 173,535.4 330 0.19 74.48<br />

2014 (2557) 26,942.1 344 1.29 177,580.5 4,045 2.33 75.24<br />

Forecast : NET Generation<br />

<strong>2015</strong> (2558) 28,271 1,329 4.93 182,575 4,995 2.81 73.72<br />

2016 (2559) 29,219 948 3.35 187,080 4,505 2.47 73.09<br />

2017 (2560) 30,303 1,084 3.71 191,697 4,617 2.47 72.21<br />

2018 (2561) 31,269 966 3.19 193,771 2,074 1.08 70.74<br />

2019 (2562) 32,408 1,139 3.64 197,335 3,564 1.84 69.51<br />

2020 (2563) 33,459 1,051 3.24 203,321 5,986 3.03 69.37<br />

2021 (2564) 34,382 923 2.76 208,385 5,064 2.49 69.19<br />

2022 (2565) 35,336 954 2.77 213,640 5,255 2.52 69.02<br />

2023 (2566) 36,294 958 2.71 218,846 5,206 2.44 68.83<br />

2024 (2567) 37,097 803 2.21 224,018 5,172 2.36 68.94<br />

2025 (2568) 37,931 834 2.25 228,767 4,749 2.12 68.85<br />

2026 (2569) 38,894 963 2.54 233,887 5,120 2.24 68.65<br />

2027 (2570) 39,729 835 2.15 237,859 3,972 1.70 68.35<br />

2028 (2571) 40,652 923 2.32 242,373 4,514 1.90 68.06<br />

2029 (2572) 41,385 733 1.80 245,990 3,617 1.49 67.85<br />

2030 (2573) 42,239 854 2.06 250,824 4,834 1.97 67.79<br />

2031 (2574) 43,161 922 2.18 256,091 5,267 2.10 67.73<br />

2032 (2575) 43,917 756 1.75 260,160 4,069 1.59 67.62<br />

2033 (2576) 44,543 626 1.43 263,700 3,540 1.36 67.58<br />

2034 (2577) 45,253 710 1.59 267,296 3,596 1.36 67.43<br />

2035 (2578) 46,030 777 1.72 271,204 3,908 1.46 67.26<br />

<strong>2036</strong> (2579) 46,891 861 1.87 275,325 4,121 1.52 67.03<br />

Average Growth<br />

2007 -2011 - 473 - - 3,782 - 75.43<br />

2012-2016 - 1,244 4.10 - 6,041 3.32 74.25<br />

2017-2021 - 1,033 3.31 - 4,261 2.18 70.20<br />

2022-2026 - 902 2.50 - 5,100 2.34 68.86<br />

2027-2031 - 853 2.10 - 4,441 1.83 67.96<br />

2032-<strong>2036</strong> - 746 1.67 - 3,847 1.46 67.38<br />

2014-<strong>2036</strong> - 907 2.50 - 4,443 2.03 69.04<br />

9 Jan 15<br />

4-7

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