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Report on Progress Toward Security and Stability in - United States ...

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c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>ued transiti<strong>on</strong> process. Force reducti<strong>on</strong>s <strong>and</strong> the planned number of mentor teams will<br />

c<strong>on</strong>stra<strong>in</strong> the coaliti<strong>on</strong>’s ability to mentor <strong>and</strong> advise a high percentage of ANSF units. Further,<br />

as an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g number of districts <strong>and</strong> prov<strong>in</strong>ces transiti<strong>on</strong> to Afghan security lead, ISAF’s<br />

access to <strong>in</strong>formati<strong>on</strong> to support operati<strong>on</strong>s will be reduced.<br />

REGIONAL COMMAND – CAPITAL<br />

Dur<strong>in</strong>g this report<strong>in</strong>g period, security <strong>in</strong>cidents <strong>in</strong> Regi<strong>on</strong>al Comm<strong>and</strong> – Capital were statistically<br />

<strong>in</strong>significant (less than <strong>on</strong>e percent) compared to all security <strong>in</strong>cidents throughout Afghanistan,<br />

<strong>and</strong> thus represented no significant change compared to the same time period <strong>on</strong>e year ago. RC-<br />

C is by far the smallest RC.<br />

ANSF-ISAF operati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>in</strong> RC-C focused <strong>on</strong> jo<strong>in</strong>t clear<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> patroll<strong>in</strong>g operati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>in</strong> order to<br />

provide security for Kabul City as well as c<strong>on</strong>trol Highway 7 <strong>and</strong> Highway 1 with<strong>in</strong> Kabul<br />

Prov<strong>in</strong>ce boundaries. Operati<strong>on</strong>s dur<strong>in</strong>g the reported period helped to neutralize <strong>in</strong>surgent<br />

support z<strong>on</strong>es <strong>and</strong> reduce spectacular attacks <strong>in</strong> Kabul while ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the trust of the Afghan<br />

populati<strong>on</strong>. In order to achieve these goals, five Capital Divisi<strong>on</strong> ANSF k<strong>and</strong>aks, <strong>in</strong><br />

coord<strong>in</strong>ati<strong>on</strong> with ISAF, c<strong>on</strong>ducted clear<strong>in</strong>g operati<strong>on</strong>s focused <strong>in</strong> Musahi, Paghman, Khake<br />

Jabbar, Qarah Bagh, Deh-e Sabz <strong>and</strong> Chahar Asiab Districts.<br />

Kabul City had a relatively calm fall <strong>and</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ter. ISAF, partnered with the ANP, decreased the<br />

frequency of some patrols, such as rotary w<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> rocket box patrols, due to the low level of<br />

enemy attacks dur<strong>in</strong>g the last six m<strong>on</strong>ths. Major security operati<strong>on</strong>s were c<strong>on</strong>ducted <strong>in</strong> support<br />

of critical cerem<strong>on</strong>ies, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the Loya Jirga <strong>in</strong> November, the open<strong>in</strong>g of Ghazi Stadium <strong>in</strong><br />

December <strong>and</strong> the open<strong>in</strong>g of the Afghan Parliament <strong>in</strong> January, with the overall objective of<br />

hav<strong>in</strong>g the ANSF units <strong>in</strong> the lead, supported by ISAF assets.<br />

Throughout the RC, ANSF units have assumed ownership of the security missi<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

a positive work<strong>in</strong>g relati<strong>on</strong>ship with ISAF. The ANSF are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly capable of plann<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong><br />

synchr<strong>on</strong>iz<strong>in</strong>g operati<strong>on</strong>s to support district <strong>and</strong> prov<strong>in</strong>cial security with <strong>in</strong>creased levels of<br />

Afghan enablers <strong>and</strong> reduced dependence <strong>on</strong> ISAF.<br />

With the w<strong>in</strong>ter fight<strong>in</strong>g seas<strong>on</strong>, the <strong>in</strong>surgency started to <strong>in</strong>crease their efforts to transport<br />

materiel <strong>and</strong> suicide bombers <strong>in</strong>to Kabul City for future attacks <strong>in</strong>to Kabul <strong>and</strong> the surround<strong>in</strong>g<br />

districts. The general threats <strong>and</strong> overall violence <strong>in</strong>dicated that the <strong>in</strong>creased security measures<br />

<strong>and</strong> success of ANSF <strong>and</strong> coaliti<strong>on</strong> forces <strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> around Kabul City forced the <strong>in</strong>surgency to<br />

c<strong>on</strong>duct spectacular attacks with low logistical footpr<strong>in</strong>ts but possible high payoffs. As the<br />

ANSF c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>ues to develop <strong>and</strong> improve, however, <strong>in</strong>surgent attacks <strong>in</strong> the capital are expected<br />

to c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>ue to decl<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

4.5: LOCAL DEFENSE INITIATIVES<br />

Village <strong>Stability</strong> Operati<strong>on</strong>s (VSO) <strong>and</strong> the Afghan Local Police are critical comp<strong>on</strong>ents of<br />

ISAF’s COIN strategy. Together, VSO <strong>and</strong> ALP c<strong>on</strong>t<strong>in</strong>ue to make progress <strong>in</strong> protect<strong>in</strong>g rural<br />

populati<strong>on</strong>s, prevent<strong>in</strong>g their exploitati<strong>on</strong> by the <strong>in</strong>surgency <strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>fluence of the<br />

Afghan Government. Taken together, VSO <strong>and</strong> ALP reflect both “bottom-up” <strong>and</strong> “top-down”<br />

approaches to COIN – the former be<strong>in</strong>g reflected <strong>in</strong> security, governance, <strong>and</strong> development built<br />

up from the village <strong>and</strong> district levels, <strong>and</strong> the latter evidenced through c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>s to nati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

63

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