Responsible gambling - Consumer Affairs Victoria

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CONTINUED A2 What are my chances? Exercise 2 - Probability Probability aims to express chance mathematically. GAMBLER’S HELP LINE 24 Responsible Gambling | Section A: What’s the big deal? Consumer Affairs Victoria | consumer.vic.gov.au Assuming you toss a fair coin, there is the same chance of it landing heads as there is of it landing tails. In other words there is a 50/50 chance of heads (and a 50/50 chance of tails) or 50% or 1/2. Another way of thinking of this is that probability compares the number of ways a desired outcome can happen to the number of possible outcomes overall: Number of successful outcomes Probability of a particular event = ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Number of possible outcomes So for example, the chance of getting a successful outcome of heads with tossing a coin is 1 (the only successful outcome) over 2 (as there are 2 possible results; heads or tails) = ½ or 0.5 The outcome of tossing a fair coin is random. There is no way to tell whether it will be heads or tails based on past events. Look at the pattern on heads and tails in the data for Exercise 1. Were there any consecutive runs of heads or tails? If so, when tossing the coins, did you think that the other side must be due to come up? Many people would, and this is the gamblers’ fallacy. Random numbers can result in patterns. When they do occur, it is coincidence. Random numbers are not dependent on previous numbers and so patterns are just as likely as no patterns. The probability of 0.5 refers to each coin toss. Each toss starts fresh and the coin has no memory of what has just happened. And the 50% chance is just a chance. There is also an equal chance it could go the other way and this is true for every throw. Note that a random set of numbers does not necessarily mean that runs of consecutive numbers or repeated patterns will not appear. a) Place the chance of the following occurrences happening on the probability line. 0 1 No chance certain A Heads on a single toss (H) A Tails on a single toss (T) Drawing a red card from a single pack of cards (no Jokers) (R) Drawing an ace from a single pack of cards (no Jokers) (A) Drawing a spade from a single pack of cards (no Jokers) (S) 1800 858 858 www.problemgambling.vic.gov.au
CONTINUED A2 What are my chances? Exercise 2 - Probability cont. b) Look again at the data from Exercise 1. Were the number of heads close to 50? GAMBLER’S HELP LINE 25 Responsible Gambling | Section A: What’s the big deal? Consumer Affairs Victoria | consumer.vic.gov.au c) Is it possible for heads and tails to alternate one after the other for 100 throws? d) Is it possible for every toss in 100 to be heads? e) If two friends bet $1 each on the toss of a coin for 100 bets and one friend always bet tails and the other always bet heads, would they be guaranteed to get their money back at the end? Exercise 3 - Roulette Roulette involves betting on the outcome of a ball spinning on a wheel landing on a particular number (0-36), colour (red or black) or combination of numbers (e.g. any odd number). 1800 858 858 www.problemgambling.vic.gov.au
Page 1 and 2: Responsible gambling Building resil
Page 3 and 4: Print Managed by Finsbury Green Pub
Page 5 and 6: Introduction to Responsible Gamblin
Page 7 and 8: Victorian Essential Learning Standa
Page 9 and 10: GAMBLER’S HELP LINE 9 Consumer Af
Page 11 and 12: A SECTION A What’s the big deal?
Page 13 and 14: ACONTINUED SECTION A What’s the b
Page 15 and 16: CONTINUED A1 Wanna bet? Why do peop
Page 23: A2 What are my chances? Introductio
Page 27 and 28: CONTINUED A2 What are my chances? c
Page 29 and 30: A3 Electronic Gaming Machines (EGMS
Page 31 and 32: CONTINUED A3 Electronic Gaming Mach
Page 33 and 34: CONTINUED A4 Scratchies GAMBLER’S
Page 35 and 36: CONTINUED A4 Scratchies a) Why do c
Page 37 and 38: CONTINUED A5 Lotto GAMBLER’S HELP
Page 39 and 40: CONTINUED A5 Lotto GAMBLER’S HELP
Page 41 and 42: BCONTINUED SECTION B Gambling as a
Page 43 and 44: CONTINUED B1 The Melbourne Cup GAMB
Page 45 and 46: CONTINUED B1 The Melbourne Cup Back
Page 47 and 48: CONTINUED B1 The Melbourne Cup GAMB
Page 49 and 50: B2 Understanding the odds GAMBLER
Page 51 and 52: CONTINUED B2 Understanding the odds
Page 53 and 54: CONTINUED B2 Understanding the odds
Page 55 and 56: CONTINUED B3 Gambling systems a) Ho
Page 57 and 58: CONTINUED B3 Gambling systems GAMBL
Page 59 and 60: CONTINUED B3 Gambling systems GAMBL
Page 61 and 62: CONTINUED B4 Poker GAMBLER’S HELP
Page 63 and 64: CONTINUED B4 Poker GAMBLER’S HELP
Page 65 and 66: C SECTION C The nature of gambling
Page 67 and 68: C1 What is gambling? GAMBLER’S HE
Page 69 and 70: C2 Building awareness - Who gambles
Page 71 and 72: CONTINUED C2 Building awareness - W
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CONTINUED C3 GAMBLER’S HELP LINE
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CONTINUED C3 GAMBLER’S HELP LINE
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D SECTION D What are you gambling w
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CONTINUED D1 Consequences for the g
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CONTINUED D1 Consequences for the g
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D2 A vicious circle Exercise 1 - Pr
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CONTINUED D2 A vicious circle GAMBL
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CONTINUED D2 A vicious circle Exerc
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D3 Consequences for others Exercise
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CONTINUED D3 Consequences for other
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CONTINUED E1 Getting the message ou
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CONTINUED E2 Democracy in action GA
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CONTINUED E3 Working it out GAMBLER
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CONTINUED E4 How far should it go?
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CONTINUED F SECTION F All about you
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CONTINUED F1 Getting to know you Ho
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CONTINUED F1 Getting to know you Ze
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CONTINUED F1 Getting to know you GA
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CONTINUED F1 Getting to know you GA
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CONTINUED F2 Relax! GAMBLER’S HEL
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CONTINUED F2 Relax! Exercise 3 - Ho
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CONTINUED F3 Feeling connected Exer
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CONTINUED F3 Feeling connected GAMB
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CONTINUED F4 Problem solving skills
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Resources - Websites and Details Go
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Beat the game Clip 1: Stay in contr
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