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International Trade - Theory and Policy, 2010a

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would rise, while the wage rate would fall. Similarly, if the price of the labor-intensive good were to rise,<br />

then the wage rate would rise, while the rental rate would fall.<br />

The theorem was later generalized by Ronald Jones, who constructed a magnification effect for prices in<br />

the context of the H-O model. The magnification effect allows for analysis of any change in the prices of<br />

both goods <strong>and</strong> provides information about the magnitude of the effects on wages <strong>and</strong> rents. Most<br />

importantly, the magnification effect allows one to analyze the effects of price changes on real wages <strong>and</strong><br />

real rents earned by workers <strong>and</strong> capital owners. This is instructive since real returns indicate the<br />

purchasing power of wages <strong>and</strong> rents after accounting for price changes <strong>and</strong> thus are a better measure of<br />

well-being than the wage rate or rental rate alone.<br />

Since prices change in a country when trade liberalization occurs, the magnification effect can be applied<br />

to yield an interesting <strong>and</strong> important result. A movement to free trade will cause the real return of a<br />

country’s relatively abundant factor to rise, while the real return of the country’s relatively scarce factor<br />

will fall. Thus if the United States <strong>and</strong> France are two countries that move to free trade <strong>and</strong> if the United<br />

States is capital abundant (while France is labor abundant), then capital owners in the United States will<br />

experience an increase in the purchasing power of their rental income (i.e., they will gain), while workers<br />

will experience a decline in the purchasing power of their wage income (i.e., they will lose). Similarly,<br />

workers will gain in France, but capital owners will lose.<br />

What’s more, the country’s abundant factor benefits regardless of the industry in which it is employed.<br />

Thus capital owners in the United States would benefit from trade even if their capital is used in the<br />

declining import-competing sector. Similarly, workers would lose in the United States even if they are<br />

employed in the exp<strong>and</strong>ing export sector.<br />

The reasons for this result are somewhat complicated, but the gist can be given fairly easily. When a<br />

country moves to free trade, the price of its exported goods will rise, while the price of its imported goods<br />

will fall. The higher prices in the export industry will inspire profit-seeking firms to exp<strong>and</strong> production. At<br />

the same time, the import-competing industry, suffering from falling prices, will want to reduce<br />

production to cut its losses. Thus capital <strong>and</strong> labor will be laid off in the import-competing sector but will<br />

Saylor URL: http://www.saylor.org/books<br />

Saylor.org<br />

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