Asian Sky Quarterly 2022 Q4
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GLOBAL<br />
BUSINESS<br />
AVIATION<br />
MARKET<br />
UPDATE<br />
By Global Jet Capital<br />
Flight operations improved on a year-over-year basis and<br />
manufacturers received a high level of orders. Transactions were<br />
down compared to a brisk 2021 but were higher than pre-COVID levels.<br />
Aircraft listings increased, although pricing remained stable as overall<br />
inventory levels were still low. The biggest question going forward is<br />
the health of the global economy, with many economists expecting a<br />
recession in 2023. Due to business aviation’s unique value proposition,<br />
the business jet market has remained resilient but will likely be tested<br />
this year.<br />
• While many economists forecast the global economy to experience<br />
a recession in 2023, <strong>Q4</strong> <strong>2022</strong> data indicates that the contraction may<br />
be less severe than originally expected<br />
• While flight operations dipped slightly in <strong>Q4</strong> <strong>2022</strong>, they remained<br />
nearly 18 percent above 2019 levels, demonstrating that the<br />
broadening of the business aviation user base has endured.<br />
• OEMs experienced robust demand in <strong>2022</strong>, driving up backlogs.<br />
Strong deliveries and normalizing order intake during <strong>Q4</strong> resulted in<br />
lower book-to-bill ratios.<br />
• Pre-owned transaction levels were down in <strong>2022</strong> compared to a redhot<br />
2021 but were higher than pre-COVID levels.<br />
• Inventory levels increased along with aircraft listings in <strong>2022</strong> but<br />
remained well below historical levels.<br />
• With demand strong and supply remaining low, business jet bluebook<br />
values increased in <strong>Q4</strong>, but signs that the market is normalizing<br />
began to emerge.<br />
52 | GLOBAL SKY QUARTERLY — FOURTH QUARTER <strong>2022</strong>