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Asian Sky Quarterly 2022 Q4

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GLOBAL<br />

BUSINESS<br />

AVIATION<br />

MARKET<br />

UPDATE<br />

By Global Jet Capital<br />

Flight operations improved on a year-over-year basis and<br />

manufacturers received a high level of orders. Transactions were<br />

down compared to a brisk 2021 but were higher than pre-COVID levels.<br />

Aircraft listings increased, although pricing remained stable as overall<br />

inventory levels were still low. The biggest question going forward is<br />

the health of the global economy, with many economists expecting a<br />

recession in 2023. Due to business aviation’s unique value proposition,<br />

the business jet market has remained resilient but will likely be tested<br />

this year.<br />

• While many economists forecast the global economy to experience<br />

a recession in 2023, <strong>Q4</strong> <strong>2022</strong> data indicates that the contraction may<br />

be less severe than originally expected<br />

• While flight operations dipped slightly in <strong>Q4</strong> <strong>2022</strong>, they remained<br />

nearly 18 percent above 2019 levels, demonstrating that the<br />

broadening of the business aviation user base has endured.<br />

• OEMs experienced robust demand in <strong>2022</strong>, driving up backlogs.<br />

Strong deliveries and normalizing order intake during <strong>Q4</strong> resulted in<br />

lower book-to-bill ratios.<br />

• Pre-owned transaction levels were down in <strong>2022</strong> compared to a redhot<br />

2021 but were higher than pre-COVID levels.<br />

• Inventory levels increased along with aircraft listings in <strong>2022</strong> but<br />

remained well below historical levels.<br />

• With demand strong and supply remaining low, business jet bluebook<br />

values increased in <strong>Q4</strong>, but signs that the market is normalizing<br />

began to emerge.<br />

52 | GLOBAL SKY QUARTERLY — FOURTH QUARTER <strong>2022</strong>

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