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Spain and the United States - Real Instituto Elcano

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96<br />

SPAIN AND THE UNITED STATES<br />

Moreover <strong>the</strong> demographic pattern of <strong>the</strong> Hispanic population is fast<br />

changing: births in <strong>the</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong> are outpacing immigration as <strong>the</strong> main<br />

source of growth. 5 This is producing an important shift in <strong>the</strong> composition of<br />

<strong>the</strong> Hispanic population with second-generation Hispanics – <strong>the</strong> US born<br />

children of immigrants – emerging as <strong>the</strong> largest component of <strong>the</strong> population<br />

(see Exhibits 5.4 <strong>and</strong> 5.5). Given <strong>the</strong> substantial differences in earnings,<br />

educational attainment, fluency in English, <strong>and</strong> attitudes between foreign-born<br />

<strong>and</strong> native-born Hispanics, this shift has significant implications. For example,<br />

between 2000 <strong>and</strong> 2020, <strong>the</strong> number of second-generation Hispanics in US<br />

schools will double <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> number in <strong>the</strong> US labour force will triple. Nearly<br />

one-quarter of labour force growth over that period will come from children of<br />

Hispanic immigrants.<br />

Exhibit 5.4 Immigrants Dominate Growth, 1970-2000<br />

Exhibit 5.5 Second Generation Dominates Growth, 2000-2020<br />

As well as strong growth in <strong>the</strong> population <strong>and</strong> disposable personal income<br />

of Hispanics, <strong>the</strong>re has been significant growth in businesses run by Hispanics<br />

(see Exhibit 5.6). The number of businesses owned by Hispanics is forecast to<br />

reach 3.2 million by 2010. More than 40% of <strong>the</strong> companies are in services,<br />

5. See The Rise of <strong>the</strong> Second Generation: Changing Patters in Hispanic Population Growth, by Roberto<br />

Suro <strong>and</strong> Jeffrey Passel (Pew Hispanic Centre, October 2003).

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