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Towards a Worldwide Index of Human Freedom

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224 • <strong>Towards</strong> a <strong>Worldwide</strong> <strong>Index</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Human</strong> <strong>Freedom</strong><br />

banks and other big players on financial markets, it suffered the consequences<br />

<strong>of</strong> its poor performance in regulation. Unfortunately, the financial<br />

crisis and the response to it has done nothing for mitigating the “too<br />

big to fail” problem, which got worse rather than better. Worse still, rescuing<br />

banks and AIG has reinforced moral hazard.<br />

The second component has been the continuation <strong>of</strong> the cheap<br />

money policy which was a prerequisite <strong>of</strong> the crisis in the first place.<br />

Possibly, there was no better alternative to low interest rates and quantitative<br />

easing, i.e., central banks buying government bonds and financing<br />

public deficits by the equivalent <strong>of</strong> printing money.41 But it should<br />

be emphasized that the extraordinary fear <strong>of</strong> deflation and its consequences<br />

that politicians, central bankers, and most economists demonstrated<br />

rests on a tenuous empirical basis (Atkenson and Kehoe,<br />

2004). Given the high (and, because <strong>of</strong> the crisis, more rapidly growing<br />

than ever) indebtedness <strong>of</strong> most Western democracies, and given<br />

the resulting incentive for governments to lighten the debt burden<br />

by inflation, the long-run problem will be inflation rather than deflation<br />

(Bagus, 2011; Bernholz, 2003; Hayek, 1960).42 The question is<br />

less whether central banks know when and how to tighten monetary<br />

policy than whether the politicians shall let them do what is necessary<br />

sooner or later. Here, I must admit deep pessimism. As Friedrich August<br />

von Hayek (1976/2008) recognized in the 1970s, money might be too<br />

important to leave it to the politicians. We might need to wrest control<br />

<strong>of</strong> monetary aggregates from politicians and politically appointed<br />

central bankers by either returning to some kind <strong>of</strong> commodity-based<br />

money or by the privatization <strong>of</strong> money. According to Hayek, the future<br />

<strong>of</strong> individual liberty and economic freedom might depend on it.43<br />

for the lion’s share <strong>of</strong> the losses, but relief for the banks was quite pr<strong>of</strong>itable. Of course, the<br />

financial crisis also affected growth rates and government revenue and therefore public<br />

debts. According to Reinhart and Rog<strong>of</strong>f, the real stock <strong>of</strong> debt tends to come close to<br />

doubling within three years after financial crises (2009: 170).<br />

41 Hummel argues that Bernanke’s Federal Reserve (Fed) did not flood markets with liquidity<br />

in response to the financial crisis, but that it redirected it, thereby becoming something<br />

like a central planner <strong>of</strong> the American economy (2011: 509). In the summer <strong>of</strong> 2008, the<br />

Fed’s lending to banks was sterilized by its selling <strong>of</strong> Treasury securities.<br />

42 Not only politicians, but even some economists (for example, Rog<strong>of</strong>f, 2011, August 9:<br />

9) favor a higher rate <strong>of</strong> inflation in order to lighten the debt burden <strong>of</strong> democratic governments.<br />

Assuming that such a policy is a lesser evil than any alternative, the advice to<br />

politicians to confiscate part <strong>of</strong> people’s savings implies an indictment <strong>of</strong> politicians and<br />

a strong verdict about government failure.<br />

43 The most detailed proposal has been made by Huerta de Soto (2009). In his view, the<br />

limited reserve requirements in banking or the creation <strong>of</strong> credit out <strong>of</strong> nothing by banks,<br />

which are supported by central banks, are the main culprits for recurrent crises. That is<br />

Fraser Institute ©2012 • www.fraserinstitute.org • www.freetheworld.com

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