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Figure I Generalized map of the Wilbur Mining ... - University of Utah

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.PUMP<br />

CONTDOl.<br />

CEOTHERMAL Pnoa MJECTION WELL<br />

WELLS<br />

a rupture); or a drop in supply temperature (caused<br />

by a closed valve or stopped pump).<br />

When <strong>the</strong> project is expanded to Phase III, a<br />

computerized control center will replace all chart<br />

recorders and provide BTU calculations for remote<br />

building as well as temperature and pressure <strong>of</strong><br />

heating water supplied and used.<br />

PART IV<br />

LIFE CYCLE AND COST ANALYSIS<br />

For <strong>the</strong> Klamath Falls district, heating <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> central business core Phase.II (<strong>the</strong> elevenblock<br />

district) was evaluated due to <strong>the</strong> fact that<br />

this phase will be completed in <strong>the</strong> very near<br />

future.<br />

Cost benefit analysis was based on <strong>the</strong> annual<br />

heat load using geo<strong>the</strong>rmal energy.as opposed to natural<br />

gas. The economic analysis was based on <strong>the</strong><br />

following assumptions:<br />

1) The economic inflation rate was forecast<br />

at 7%. As <strong>of</strong> this writing, 9% would be more<br />

accurate.<br />

2) Inflation rates for conventional energy<br />

were obtained from <strong>the</strong> Oregon Department <strong>of</strong> Energy<br />

as follows:<br />

a. natural gas--5.2% above <strong>the</strong> economic inflation<br />

rate through 1986 and 1.5% above<br />

<strong>the</strong> economic inflation rate <strong>the</strong>reafter.<br />

b. electric power—2.5% above <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

inflation rate through 1986 and 1.5% above<br />

<strong>the</strong> economic inflation rate <strong>the</strong>reafter.<br />

T<br />

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SXI}J-SH<br />

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• 11<br />

J J<br />

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FIGURE 9. Distribution Network Control<br />

393<br />

pRCSsunrzeo<br />

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MEAT EKCHAMGEH/COWTROL BUILOtwC<br />

Lund, et. al.<br />

3) Cost <strong>of</strong> capital 6.5% as indicated by <strong>the</strong><br />

City <strong>of</strong> Klamath Falls.<br />

4) Current cost <strong>of</strong> natural gas $0.34394 per<br />

<strong>the</strong>rm (rate paid in February, 1979).<br />

5) 85% efficiency for natural gas.<br />

These inflation rates have proven to be very conservative.<br />

During <strong>the</strong> past 3 years, <strong>the</strong> City has<br />

experienced a 26.5% per year increase in <strong>the</strong> cost<br />

<strong>of</strong> natural gas as compared to 12.2% in our evaluation.<br />

The fact that actual inflation rates exceed<br />

those used in <strong>the</strong> study fur<strong>the</strong>r supports <strong>the</strong> arguraent<br />

for <strong>the</strong> geo<strong>the</strong>rmal system.<br />

Tables I and II <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> report show capital investment<br />

for 16 combinations <strong>of</strong> primary and secondary<br />

piping systems.<br />

Life cycle costs were calculated on <strong>the</strong>se<br />

piping systems for a 10-year period and appear in<br />

Tables III and IV.<br />

A fifty-year life cycle cost analysis was completed<br />

on four piping systems and <strong>the</strong> results are<br />

illustrated graphically on <strong>the</strong> chart following.<br />

Although steel pipe installed in concrete tunnels<br />

requires <strong>the</strong> highest capital investment, <strong>the</strong><br />

annual maintenance costs were estimated to be considerably<br />

lower. Such a system provides easy access,<br />

room for future expansion at minimal cost,<br />

and reduces maintenance time and cost particularly<br />

in conjested business districts.

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