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The Economic Value of Water and Ecosystem Preservation

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Boating 46%<br />

Nature 65%<br />

Camping 43%<br />

Photo 41%<br />

Hiking 48%<br />

Birding 62%<br />

4.3.2. Travel Cost Method – Analysis <strong>and</strong> Results<br />

Initial analysis was conducted for the aggregate data set. <strong>The</strong> approach used<br />

here follows a two step procedure to estimate individual dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> consumer<br />

surplus (Upneja, Shafer et al., 2001). Ordinary least squares regression was<br />

applied to survey data to estimate a function relating travel cost to number <strong>of</strong><br />

visits. This individual dem<strong>and</strong> equation was then used to estimate individual<br />

consumer surplus.<br />

<strong>The</strong> regression model was set up to estimate a dem<strong>and</strong> function for ecotourism.<br />

<strong>The</strong> dependent variable was the reported number <strong>of</strong> day trips. <strong>The</strong><br />

independent variable included (log <strong>of</strong>) travel cost (LnCost), state residency status<br />

(TX_home), duration <strong>of</strong> trip in hours (Duration), estimated travel time from local<br />

base (Trip_time), <strong>and</strong> whether the respondent participated in bird watching,<br />

fishing or beach going. <strong>The</strong> model yielded an adjusted r-squared value <strong>of</strong> 0.20.<br />

Results showed that the natural log <strong>of</strong> travel cost was the most significant<br />

variable. This was followed by fishing, beach-going, <strong>and</strong> birding activities.<br />

Duration <strong>of</strong> trip in hours was also shown to be a significant variable. Other<br />

variable were not reported as significant. Results <strong>of</strong> the regression analysis are<br />

presented in Table 1.<br />

Table 4-2. Results <strong>of</strong> regression analysis for aggregate data set<br />

Coefficients St<strong>and</strong>ard Error t Stat<br />

Intercept 87.65 11.91 7.36<br />

LnCost -9.56 1.56 -6.11<br />

TX_home 5.92 5.48 1.08<br />

Duration -5.54 1.96 -2.82<br />

Trip_time -0.72 2.11 -0.34<br />

Birding 13.20 5.35 2.47<br />

Fishing 23.89 5.33 4.48<br />

Beach -21.98 5.876 -3.74<br />

Holding all variables constant except LnCost the dem<strong>and</strong> function was<br />

estimated as:<br />

Equation 1. q<br />

= −9<br />

. 55(ln<br />

p)<br />

+ 73.<br />

164<br />

36

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