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The Economic Value of Water and Ecosystem Preservation

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occasional flood <strong>and</strong> drought events (Figure 4-3). It is thus quite difficult to<br />

determine what unit <strong>of</strong> water inflows to consider as the ‘input.’<br />

Figure 4-3. Example <strong>of</strong> Flow Regime Variations<br />

Flow<br />

January December<br />

It is known that freshwater inflows have a highly significant impact on the<br />

ecosystem, but this is through a complex interaction with the other elements <strong>of</strong><br />

the ecosystem. For example, one study states that high inflows help to boost<br />

blue crab populations which in turn serve as the primary source <strong>of</strong> nutrition for<br />

the whooping cranes (Stehn, 2001). Stehn (2001) further remarks that during<br />

years with poor crab production (e.g. such as 1993-4 <strong>and</strong> 2000-1), there is a<br />

marked increase in whooping crane deaths. As whooping cranes are a major<br />

attraction for birders/nature tourists, it is fair to hypothesize that there may also<br />

be an impact on tourist numbers.<br />

<strong>The</strong>re is also the difficulty that ecosystem services are not simply an<br />

increasing function <strong>of</strong> freshwater inflows – too little (drought) can be as<br />

detrimental as too much (flooding). Furthermore, these natural variances are an<br />

important part <strong>of</strong> maintaining the health <strong>of</strong> the ecosystem. Also <strong>of</strong> concern is the<br />

duration which variations in flow must be maintained to have a beneficial or<br />

detrimental impact on the health <strong>of</strong> the ecosystem.<br />

Even ignoring the problem <strong>of</strong> the complex interactions <strong>of</strong> inflows with the<br />

ecosystem does not alleviate the problem. In agricultural science, production<br />

functions have been developed to account for the timing <strong>of</strong> irrigation application.<br />

However, water applications in agriculture are distinct; whereas, freshwater<br />

inflows are continuously applied in the production <strong>of</strong> ecosystems. Thus, there is a<br />

fundamental question in how to best incorporate the inflows into a production<br />

function. <strong>The</strong> present model is viewed as an initial step in this direction. Average<br />

inflow rates were taken on a monthly basis. <strong>The</strong>se flows were then compared to<br />

visitor data lagging the flows by one month up to 18 months. <strong>The</strong> implicitly<br />

assumes that flows in a single month would have a significant impact on<br />

attracting tourists. <strong>The</strong> results <strong>of</strong> this analysis are discussed in Section 4.7.<br />

39<br />

High year<br />

Average<br />

Low year

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