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The Economic Value of Water and Ecosystem Preservation

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IM<br />

t+<br />

n<br />

ic<br />

= E<br />

t<br />

ic<br />

⎡⎛<br />

E<br />

× ⎢⎜<br />

⎜<br />

⎢⎣<br />

⎝ E<br />

t+<br />

n<br />

iUS<br />

t<br />

iUS<br />

t ⎞ ⎛ E<br />

⎟<br />

− ⎜<br />

t<br />

⎠ ⎝ E<br />

+ n<br />

US<br />

US<br />

⎞⎤<br />

⎟<br />

⎥<br />

⎠⎥⎦<br />

t + n = current time period<br />

i = industry<br />

55<br />

t = base year<br />

c = County<br />

3. <strong>The</strong> Competitive Share component is extremely relevant since it identifies<br />

the leading <strong>and</strong> lagging industries in our study region. It enables us to know how<br />

many jobs were created (or not) due to our region’s competitiveness. Some<br />

industries can grow faster or slower regardless <strong>of</strong> the total national growth rate.<br />

This is due to unique competitive advantages that some industries <strong>and</strong>/or regions<br />

have compared to others.<br />

To calculate the CS component, we multiply the county employment <strong>of</strong><br />

t<br />

industry i in base year t, E ic by the difference between the industry’s County<br />

t+<br />

n t+<br />

n<br />

Eic<br />

EiUS<br />

growth rate <strong>and</strong> the industry’s national growth rate, − .<br />

t t<br />

E E<br />

CS<br />

t+<br />

n<br />

ic<br />

= E<br />

t<br />

ic<br />

i = industry<br />

t ⎡⎛<br />

E<br />

× ⎢ ⎜<br />

⎢⎣<br />

⎝ E<br />

+ n<br />

ic<br />

t<br />

ic<br />

⎞ ⎛ E<br />

⎟ −<br />

⎜<br />

⎠ ⎝ E<br />

t + n = current time period<br />

t+<br />

n<br />

iUS<br />

t<br />

iUS<br />

⎞⎤<br />

⎟<br />

⎟⎥<br />

⎠⎥⎦<br />

t = base year<br />

c = County<br />

<strong>The</strong> sum <strong>of</strong> all three components equals the change in local employment in<br />

the time-period being studied.<br />

Δ E<br />

ic<br />

= NS<br />

t+<br />

n<br />

ic<br />

+ IM<br />

t+<br />

n<br />

ic<br />

+ CS<br />

t+<br />

n<br />

ic<br />

Input-Output <strong>Economic</strong> Impact<br />

After deconstructing the various reasons for employment change using shiftshare<br />

analysis, the question becomes: What impact does this change in<br />

employment have. Using input-output modeling allows us to reveal the complete<br />

impact on the economy <strong>of</strong> employment change in a particular sector.<br />

An input-output model uses a matrix representation <strong>of</strong> a nation’s (or a<br />

region’s) economy to predict how changes in one industry will affect other<br />

ic<br />

iUS

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