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65th IHC Booklet/Program (pdf - 4.9MB) - Office of the Federal ...

65th IHC Booklet/Program (pdf - 4.9MB) - Office of the Federal ...

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Ocean’s Impact on <strong>the</strong> Intensity <strong>of</strong> Three Recent Typhoons (Fanapi, Malakas, and Megi) –<br />

Results from <strong>the</strong> ITOP Field Experiment<br />

I-I Lin 1 and Peter G. Black<br />

( peter.black.ctr@nrlmry.navy.mil)<br />

1 Department <strong>of</strong> Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan;<br />

2 Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, USA<br />

2<br />

During <strong>the</strong> 20 August to 20 October 2010 ITOP field experiment, three typhoon cases,<br />

Fanapi, Malakas, and Megi were studied. Using airborne C130 dropwindsonde data, C130<br />

AXBT (Airborne Expendable Bathy<strong>the</strong>rmograph) data, in situ upper ocean <strong>the</strong>rmal structure data<br />

from <strong>the</strong> Argo floats, satellite sea surface temperature and altimetry data toge<strong>the</strong>r with an ocean<br />

mixed layer model, <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> ocean’s <strong>the</strong>rmal structure to <strong>the</strong> intensity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se 3 typhoons<br />

are investigated. It is found that all three typhoons passed over regions <strong>of</strong> similarly warm sea<br />

surface temperature (SST) <strong>of</strong> ~ 29.5 ˚ C. However, much distinction is found in <strong>the</strong> subsurface.<br />

Category-2 Typhoon Malakas passed over region <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> shallowest subsurface warm layer, as<br />

characterised by <strong>the</strong> depth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 26 ˚ C iso<strong>the</strong>rm (D26) <strong>of</strong> about 37 -40m and Upper Ocean Heat<br />

Content (UOHC) <strong>of</strong> ~ 38-44 kj/cm 2 . Category-3 typhoon Fanapi passed over region <strong>of</strong> moderate<br />

subsurface warm layer, with D26 <strong>of</strong> ~ 60-70m and UOHC <strong>of</strong> ~ 65-78 kj/cm 2 . Category-5<br />

typhoon Megi passed over region <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> deepest subsurface warm layer, with D26 reaching 124-<br />

132m and UOHC reaching 136-138 kj/cm 2 . It is found that this distinction in <strong>the</strong> subsurface<br />

<strong>the</strong>rmal structure played critical role in <strong>the</strong> intensification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> three typhoon cases. Due to <strong>the</strong><br />

very deep D26 and high UOHC, very little typhoon-induced ocean cooling negative feedback<br />

(typically < 1˚ C) for Megi was found. This very minimal negative feedback enabled ample air -<br />

sea enthalpy flux supply to support Megi’s intensification. Based on <strong>the</strong> preliminary report from<br />

<strong>the</strong> Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), Megi’s peak intensity reached 160kts, a very high<br />

intensity not <strong>of</strong>ten observed even for category-5 typhoons. In contrast, though with very warm<br />

pre-typhoon SST <strong>of</strong> ~ 29.5 ˚ C, <strong>the</strong> subsurface ocean condition for Malakas and Fanapi was<br />

much less favourable. As a result, <strong>the</strong> subsurface cold water could be much easily entrained and<br />

upwelled to <strong>the</strong> surface to limit <strong>the</strong> intensification for Malakas and Fanapi. Finally, it was found<br />

that <strong>the</strong> very deep subsurface warm layer and high heat content over <strong>the</strong> region where Megi<br />

passed was about 10-30% higher than <strong>the</strong> climatological values. Preliminary results suggest <strong>the</strong><br />

possible contribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> La Nina event in causing such warm anomaly over <strong>the</strong> western North<br />

Pacific in October 2010.<br />

Poster Session – Page 8

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