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Europes ecological backbone.pdf

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The water towers of Europe<br />

Figure 6.9 Relative change in river flows between scenario (2071–2100) and reference period<br />

(1961–1990) (a) annual river flow and (b) seasonal river flow of three large<br />

European rivers<br />

(a) (b) Projected river flow 2071–2100<br />

(green line) and the observed river<br />

flow 1961–1990 (orange line)<br />

60°<br />

50°<br />

-30°<br />

-20°<br />

-10°<br />

0°<br />

10°<br />

20°<br />

30°<br />

40°<br />

50°<br />

60°<br />

60°<br />

50°<br />

m 3 /s<br />

1 000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

0<br />

Rhone (Chancy)<br />

90 180 270 360<br />

Calender day<br />

40°<br />

m 3 /s<br />

12 000<br />

Danube (Ceatal Izmail)<br />

40°<br />

0 500 0° 1000 1500 km 10°<br />

20°<br />

30°<br />

8 000<br />

Relative change in annual river flow (map) and<br />

change in seasonal river flow of three large European<br />

rivers between scenario (2071–2100) and reference<br />

period (1961–1990) (graph)<br />

Change in %<br />

+ 40<br />

+ 20<br />

+ 10<br />

+ 5<br />

– 5<br />

– 10<br />

– 20<br />

– 40<br />

Reduction Increase<br />

Observed river flow 1961–1990<br />

Projected river flow 2071–2100<br />

4 000<br />

0<br />

m 3 /s<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

0<br />

90 180 270 360<br />

Calender day<br />

Guadiana (Pulo do Lobo)<br />

90 180 270 360<br />

Calender day<br />

Source: EEA/JRC/WHO, 2008.<br />

106 Europe's <strong>ecological</strong> <strong>backbone</strong>: recognising the true value of our mountains

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