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Europes ecological backbone.pdf

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Biodiversity<br />

Box 8.3 Climate change and Europe's alpine plant diversity: the GLORIA long-term<br />

observation network (cont.)<br />

Vascular plant species richness (total and endemic species; data pooled from four summit sites per region)<br />

is shown for the initial 18 GLORIA-Europe regions. Colours indicating the proportion of endemic species<br />

(endemics in the wider sense, light blue; in the strict sense, dark blue) correspond with the homochromatic<br />

distribution areas around a particular region.<br />

Figure 8.5<br />

The high-elevation GLORIA master site Mount Schrankogel (Tyrol, Austria)<br />

Note:<br />

The alpine–nival ecotone (approximately 2 900–3 200 m) is the transition zone between the upper alpine grassland<br />

zone and the rock-, scree- and snow-dominated nival zone, where vegetation disintegrates into open plant<br />

assemblages. Data from 362 permanent plots across the ecotone showed significant differential cover changes of<br />

20 species (out of a total of 59) in relation to their vertical distribution ranges (blue: increase in cover, orange:<br />

decrease in cover).<br />

Source: Pauli et al., 2007.<br />

During the present century, it is likely that Europe's<br />

mountain flora will undergo major changes due<br />

to climate change (Theurillat and Guisan, 2001;<br />

Walther, 2004). Change in snow-cover duration<br />

and growing season length should have much<br />

more pronounced effects than direct effects of<br />

temperature changes on metabolism (Grace et al.,<br />

2002; Körner et al., 2003). Overall trends are towards<br />

increased growing season, earlier phenology and<br />

shifts of species distributions towards higher<br />

elevations (Kullman, 2002; Körner et al., 2003;<br />

Egli et al., 2004; Sandvik et al., 2004; Walther, 2004;<br />

Casalegno et al., 2010). Similar shifts in elevation<br />

are also documented for animal species (Hughes,<br />

2000). However, the spatial scale of modelling<br />

can strongly influence the predicted persistence<br />

of suitable habitats (Trivedi et al., 2008; Randin<br />

et al., 2009). Recent phenological work in the Alps<br />

suggests a stronger advance of flowering phases at<br />

high altitudes, with a tendency towards a stronger<br />

altitudinal response in the northern than in the<br />

southern Alps (Ziello et al., 2009).<br />

Europe's <strong>ecological</strong> <strong>backbone</strong>: recognising the true value of our mountains<br />

157

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