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911 National Policy Statements 1 DECEMBER 2010 National Policy Statements 912<br />
[Huw Irranca-Davies]<br />
The Minister’s officials would certainly become involved,<br />
and relevant stakeholders would need to be consulted.<br />
T<strong>here</strong> would be a minimum of 13 weeks’ consultation,<br />
as recommended by civil service guidelines, but possibly<br />
a heck of a lot more. It would be helpful to get some<br />
clarity on those issues before we debate NPSs.<br />
Charlie Elphicke: Speaking of clarity, can the shadow<br />
Minister explain why we are threatened with the lights<br />
going out in 2015? Should he and his party not apologise<br />
for that shocking situation?<br />
Huw Irranca-Davies: If the hon. Gentleman is seeking<br />
apologies, may I suggest that he starts by knocking on<br />
the door of No. 10? He should ask the Prime Minister<br />
why it took so long for him to move from a position of<br />
equivocation on nuclear new build to a position of<br />
indifference. Following Labour’s leadership, the Prime<br />
Minister finally rowed in behind on the need for nuclear<br />
new build. The five-year hiatus to which the Minister<br />
referred happened, as someone remarked earlier,<br />
because t<strong>here</strong> was no appetite in the country or among<br />
the body politic to move forward on new nuclear. We<br />
showed leadership; certain individuals rowed in behind,<br />
but it took them a long time to do so.<br />
For the sake of taxpayers, who are always in the mind<br />
of the coalition Government, will the Minister tell us<br />
what he knows about the cost of abolishing the IPC?<br />
What are the costs of the transition to the new major<br />
infrastructure unit within the planning inspectorate?<br />
Will t<strong>here</strong> be savings for the taxpayer, and if so, will he<br />
or the Government publish those figures after the debate?<br />
In the absence of the much anticipated localism Bill,<br />
w<strong>here</strong> in the reformed process does localism rear its<br />
lovely head? Will the Minister explain how parliamentary<br />
scrutiny of NPSs, which represent the Minister’s<br />
opinion on the strategic needs of the UK, allows for<br />
localism? If the answer to that question is not in the<br />
Government’s response and if we will not be told in<br />
January, w<strong>here</strong> is it?<br />
What is the expected lifespan of NPSs? I ask that for<br />
a very good reason. The Minister recently spoke with<br />
clarity and purpose at a meeting of the World Coal<br />
Association, which I was pleased to attend, and made a<br />
bold prediction. He said with certainty that next spring,<br />
he would draw a line in the sand on his forthcoming<br />
decisions on a range of market mechanisms and incentives,<br />
including electricity market reforms, carbon floor-pricing,<br />
emissions performance standards, capacity payments<br />
and so on. The NPSs are part of that line in the sand,<br />
giving investors certainty for years ahead, yet they do<br />
not stand alone. T<strong>here</strong> are so many “What ifs?”, and the<br />
Minister has to take these into account—it is like multidimensional<br />
chess.<br />
I know that the Government do not particularly like<br />
the idea of school sport, as we discovered yesterday, but<br />
the Minister has been indulging in his favourite sport<br />
with his ministerial colleagues—an extreme sport known<br />
as Treasury-wrangling. After some delay, he came out<br />
with a partial win, announcing the first stage of commercial<br />
CCS—carbon capture and storage—which has delivered,<br />
after a slight delay of six months, the first part of<br />
Labour’s commitment to CCS. We look forward to him<br />
rapidly bringing forward not only that pilot, but the<br />
three others, including a pilot on gas CCS. However,<br />
may I urge—or should it be “nudge”, in the Government’s<br />
new lexicon?—the Minister to get on with that pronto?<br />
He has honestly and publicly acknowledged that t<strong>here</strong><br />
is no future for coal in the UK unless that technology is<br />
made to work. However, t<strong>here</strong> is also a global imperative,<br />
as developing nations rush towards their own coal-powered<br />
futures. As such, this Government must avoid any further<br />
delay on the complete CCS programme of work.<br />
However, what if CCS on a commercial scale does<br />
not work? What if t<strong>here</strong> are delays because of cost, lack<br />
of funds or complexity, or because the technology to<br />
bring it forward is not available on time, or even not at<br />
all? We all want CCS to succeed—we all say that it has<br />
to succeed—and we are full of hope that it will, both for<br />
UK energy security and abating the global exploitation<br />
of fossil fuels. However, a reasonable man—and a<br />
reasonable Minister—cannot just assume that that will<br />
happen, and must t<strong>here</strong>fore make contingency plans.<br />
Martin Horwood: Given that carbon capture and<br />
storage technology has been in use on a commercial<br />
scale in the <strong>United</strong> States for some 40 years—albeit not<br />
on the same scale as that envisaged for the power<br />
stations in question—what does the hon. Gentleman<br />
imagine the technical barriers will be?<br />
Huw Irranca-Davies: I am glad to say that I am not<br />
an engineer, but that is exactly the point behind the<br />
large-scale commercial CCS pilots. That is exactly why<br />
we are running them, and we all hope that CCS will<br />
work. Indeed, I recognise the hon. Gentleman’s confidence<br />
that it definitely will work. However, t<strong>here</strong> are some<br />
nagging “What ifs?”. What if CCS is not delivered on<br />
time, or cannot happen because of the technology, the<br />
scale or the investment?<br />
In my short time in this post, I have come to realise<br />
that the Minister’s Front-Bench colleague, the hon.<br />
Member for Bexhill and Battle (Gregory Barker), positively<br />
exudes enthusiasm. Indeed, he leaves a trail of enthusiasm<br />
w<strong>here</strong>ver he goes, and for every conceivable energy<br />
source. His enthusiasm is demonstrated in photo-ops<br />
around the country and around the world, but what if<br />
the latest enthusiasm for decentralised energy, which<br />
the Minister mentioned, and combined heat and power<br />
is not realised, because the electricity grid is not smart<br />
enough to make it work locally or because the right<br />
incentives are not in place, or for other reasons?<br />
I have a final “What if?” for the Minister: the nuclear<br />
“What if?”. He has been categorical in recent days—<br />
heroically categorical—that new build nuclear is on<br />
schedule for 2017-18. Yet he knows that the Health and<br />
Safety Executive will not be issuing final certificates<br />
next year on the two designs that this House has taken<br />
through in the past few days through justification orders,<br />
but will instead issue interim certificates. T<strong>here</strong> is more<br />
work to be done on the designs and, equally importantly,<br />
the build speed of new nuclear, as evidenced by delays<br />
internationally, in Europe, the US and Asia.<br />
The coalition Government have struggled to come to<br />
terms with their identity crisis on nuclear—do they love<br />
it or hate it, and will they unequivocally support it or sit<br />
on the fence—but the Minister deserves some credit for<br />
helping his Lib Dem comrades down off the fence.<br />
However, the industry still waits for the long-term certainty<br />
of market signals that will bring forward the investment<br />
at all, let alone on time. So, t<strong>here</strong> are “What ifs?” on