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Natural Refrigerants Industry Expectations<br />

Refrigeration<br />

QUESTION: “What will be the market share of Natural<br />

Refrigerant systems in 2012, 2015 and 2020?”<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

7%<br />

6%<br />

16%<br />

12%<br />

17%<br />

30%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

12%<br />

20%<br />

20%<br />

40%<br />

Scale: Total Market Share<br />

more than 50%<br />

23%<br />

20-50%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

28%<br />

28%<br />

29%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

16%<br />

25%<br />

28%<br />

25%<br />

10-20%<br />

5-10%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

43%<br />

2012<br />

31%<br />

12%<br />

2015<br />

26%<br />

12%<br />

3%<br />

2020<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

27%<br />

2012<br />

16%<br />

13%<br />

2015<br />

19%<br />

9%<br />

7%<br />

2020<br />

0-5%<br />

104<br />

Responses: 129 Responses: 128<br />

Commercial Refrigeration<br />

Europe’s NR industry expects the market share of<br />

commercial refrigeration equipment using CO 2<br />

, NH 3<br />

or HCs to increase substantially over the coming years.<br />

While today still 43% of the 129 respondents working in<br />

the commercial refrigeration business estimate the total<br />

market share of NR solutions to be only in the range of<br />

0-5%, by 2020 this picture is inverted, with 30% stating<br />

that their share would increase to “more than 50%”. As<br />

a result, only 3% think NR systems’ market share will<br />

remain in the “0-5%” order.<br />

Industrial Refrigeration<br />

An even more prosperous outlook is presented for the<br />

industrial refrigeration sector. 40% of 128 respondents<br />

working in this field believe that the NR market share<br />

will rise to “more than 50%” by 2020. This is up from 12%<br />

estimating the market share to be in this range already<br />

today. By 2015, a total of 43% estimate the market share<br />

of NR systems already to be on track for “20-50%” or<br />

“above 50%”.

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