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Global Industry Survey on Natural Refrigerants<br />

To quantify the global market for natural refrigerants<br />

carbon dioxide (CO 2<br />

), ammonia (NH 3<br />

), and hydrocarbons<br />

(HCs), an online survey was sent to more than 6,000<br />

HVAC&R professionals, and relevant industry associations.<br />

The total universal response set used in the following<br />

was 1,254 individuals.<br />

Specific objectives of the survey were to identify expectations<br />

and priorities of the HVAC&R sector; discover the<br />

perceived drivers and barriers affecting the uptake of<br />

natural refrigerants; and determine the level of awareness<br />

and support for natural refrigerants. This was the<br />

first time that an industry-specific survey was conducted<br />

focusing exclusively on the market potential of natural<br />

working fluids in different applications, sub-sectors and<br />

geographic regions. The comparatively high response<br />

rate showed that interest in more reliable data on the<br />

economic prospects and drivers are sought by the industry<br />

which is (still) highly heterogeneous, depending on<br />

natural refrigerant selected and end-use application.<br />

Methodology<br />

The online survey has been active since 1 February 2011<br />

and consists of a mixture of 28 structured (closed-ended)<br />

and unstructured (open-ended) questions. The question<br />

set was fielded online to targeted representatives of key<br />

HVAC&R organisations and companies around the world,<br />

including system manufacturers, component suppliers<br />

and end-users. Over 6,000 invitations to participate were<br />

sent by email. Selected industry associations, including<br />

AIRAH 1 , AREA 2 , BRA 3 , EHPA 4 , Green Cooling Association,<br />

GreenChill program, and REHVA 5 supported the distribution<br />

of the survey among the associations’ members.<br />

By 15 November 2011, the survey had received a total<br />

of 1,338 responses. To avoid overrepresentation of individuals<br />

in the form of double responses, access is automatically<br />

restricted to a one time data entry per IP address.<br />

To enable a reliable analysis, data received up to 31<br />

September was taken into account in the drafting of this<br />

guide – in total 1,254 individual responses.<br />

The survey was of a voluntary nature. A balanced representation<br />

of HVAC&R professionals in terms of geographic<br />

distribution, main types of activities and prior<br />

experience with natural refrigerants was aimed for by<br />

involving neutral industry associations. To increase the<br />

response rate participants were informed that by participating<br />

they could get access to preliminary data and<br />

choose for their organisation to be included in a directory<br />

in the forthcoming Guide: Natural Refrigerants Market<br />

growth for Europe. This, and the fact that the initial database<br />

contained a high sample of individuals familiar with<br />

and/or involved in offering natural refrigerant technologies<br />

and services, led to a relative overrepresentation of<br />

the “pro-Natural Refrigerant” industry; those that already<br />

offer and/or are willing to offer in the future solutions<br />

based on CO 2<br />

, NH 3<br />

and HCs. Overall and not surprisingly,<br />

it can be concluded that, due to the survey’s voluntary<br />

nature, the question set attracted a higher-than-average<br />

number of respondents already interested in the future<br />

of natural working fluids.<br />

To avoid bias as far as possible however, wherever there<br />

were marked differences in response patterns from the<br />

total data set, a separate sub-set containing only individuals<br />

with no current or future natural refrigerant<br />

products was formed and contrasted with the parent<br />

population. This allows for a clear distinction between<br />

“pro-Natural Refrigerant” respondents and those not<br />

planning on marketing solutions based on natural working<br />

fluids anytime soon.<br />

1 Australian Institute of Refrigeration, Air-conditioning<br />

& Heating<br />

2 Air-conditioning & Refrigeration European Association<br />

3 British Refrigeration Association<br />

4 European Heat Pump Association<br />

5 Federation of European Heating, Ventilation & Air<br />

-conditioning Associations<br />

29

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