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and those with no intention to do so in the foreseeable<br />

future – the latter especially showing a clear tendency<br />

towards the “no movement” option as compared to the<br />

“rather positive” one.<br />

NH 3<br />

: Stable climate with sunny prospects<br />

The first noticeable result, when comparing the total<br />

response set and the sub-set including only organisations<br />

with no plans to use NR in the near future, is that<br />

there are no marked differences between them. While<br />

more individuals said the situation for ammonia in Europe<br />

would be “highly negative” (10% for “No NR” subset<br />

as compared to 3% for all respondents), evaluations<br />

for all other options followed similar patterns. Average<br />

responses tend towards the “no movement” to “rather<br />

positive” option, irrespective of whether the company<br />

uses natural refrigerants or not. This is another indication<br />

of the largely saturated and well-established NH 3<br />

market<br />

for some applications, mainly industrial systems, already<br />

pointed out for the refrigerant sales trends (see pages 32<br />

to 33) .<br />

HC: Cloudy forecast<br />

Overall, HC represents the market with the least favourable<br />

policy and business climate in Europe, as compared<br />

to CO 2<br />

and NH 3<br />

. One-fifth (21%) rate the current situation<br />

as “highly negative” or “rather negative”, as compared to<br />

only 8% for CO 2<br />

and 12% for NH 3<br />

. At the other opposite,<br />

only 4% say HCs meet “highly positive” conditions.<br />

Even the total of those seeing any positive movements<br />

(“rather positive” and “highly positive”) amounts to 38%<br />

only, as compared with 63% for CO 2<br />

and 48% for NH 3<br />

. For<br />

those not (yet) involved in HC products & services, no<br />

single respondent selected the “highly positive” option.<br />

A possible explanation for this rather pessimistic evaluation<br />

can be found in the low total response rate of the<br />

domestic refrigeration industry - a traditional stronghold<br />

of HC application in Europe. Outside this industry the usage<br />

of propane, isobutane and other HC refrigerants is<br />

strongly restricted by European and national charge limits<br />

impeding the widespread use of HCs in larger installations.<br />

Results for HCs can therefore be interpreted as a<br />

valid reflection of some of the prevailing barriers to the<br />

uptake of natural refrigerants: training, safety and legislation<br />

(see pages 98 to 99 & 102 to 103).<br />

97

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