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Business finance : theory and practice

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Chapter 12<br />

The dividend decision<br />

Objectives<br />

In this chapter we shall deal with the following:<br />

‘ the nature of dividends<br />

‘ the theoretical position of dividends as residuals<br />

‘ the Miller <strong>and</strong> Modigliani view that the pattern of dividends is irrelevant to<br />

the value of shares (<strong>and</strong> WACC)<br />

‘ the traditional view of dividends<br />

‘ the evidence on dividends<br />

12.1 Introduction<br />

Dividends are payments made by businesses to their shareholders. They seem to be<br />

viewed by both the directors <strong>and</strong> the shareholders as the equivalent of an interest payment<br />

that would be made to a lender; a compensation for the shareholders’ delaying<br />

consumption. Dividends are also seen as a distribution of the business’s recent profits<br />

to its owners, the shareholders.<br />

A share, like any other economic asset (that is, an asset whose value is not wholly<br />

or partly derived from sentiment or emotion), is valued on the basis of future cash<br />

flows expected to arise from it. Unless a takeover, liquidation or share repurchase is<br />

seen as a possibility, the only possible cash flows likely to arise from a share are dividends.<br />

So it would seem that anticipated dividends are usually the only determinant<br />

of share prices <strong>and</strong> hence of the cost of equity capital.<br />

It would, therefore, appear that the directors would best promote the shareholders’<br />

welfare by paying as large a dividend as the law will allow in any particular<br />

circumstances.<br />

This attitude begs several questions, however. Is it logical that directors can<br />

enhance the value of the business’s shares simply by deciding to pay a larger dividend;<br />

can value be created quite so simply? What if the business has advantageous<br />

new investment opportunities; would it be beneficial to shareholders for the business<br />

to fail to pay a dividend in order to keep sufficient <strong>finance</strong> available with which to<br />

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