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AIDJEX Bulletin #40 - Polar Science Center - University of Washington

AIDJEX Bulletin #40 - Polar Science Center - University of Washington

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ehavior is directly related to accuracy <strong>of</strong> these input data sets as<br />

well as choice <strong>of</strong> parameters on the ice model. It is felt that accuracy<br />

<strong>of</strong> barometric pressure predictions can and should be improved over<br />

present NWS predictions by deploying a modest array <strong>of</strong> drifting buoys.<br />

The buoys should relay pressure as well as position and be deployed in<br />

a region from shore out to approximately 800 km <strong>of</strong>f the north shore <strong>of</strong><br />

Alaska in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas during those times that accurate<br />

predictions are required. In any case, we have seen that the <strong>AIDJEX</strong><br />

model has simulated ice response accurately at a time when ice stress<br />

is important (and free-drift velocity predictions are inaccurate), and<br />

errors in the predicted barometric pressure field have introduced only<br />

modest inaccuracies in the ice response for this time.<br />

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS<br />

The work reported here is the result <strong>of</strong> contributions from many members<br />

<strong>of</strong> the <strong>AIDJEX</strong> modeling group. In the original report to the Environmental<br />

Research Laboratories we separated major contributions into appendices for<br />

proper attribution. Those whose contributions are less visible must be<br />

thanked here: Don Thomas, for making the simulations, and Lois Harris, for<br />

generating the graphics.<br />

This work dovetailed with other phases <strong>of</strong> the overall <strong>AIDJEX</strong> modeling<br />

efforts which were supported by the National <strong>Science</strong> Foundation, Division<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>Polar</strong> Programs, and by the Bureau <strong>of</strong> Land Management through the OCSEAP<br />

program in an interagency agreement with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric<br />

Administration. The interaction is apparent from the fact that the baseline<br />

study was funded by OCSEAP and the work determining the effect <strong>of</strong> boundary<br />

velocity errors was supported jointly by NOAA/ERL and NSF/DPP.<br />

APPENDIX<br />

SURFACE BAROMETRIC PRESSURE ERROR ANALYSIS<br />

R. A. Brown and M. Albright<br />

Since we are determining the driving force on the ice from National<br />

Weather Service prognosticated surface pressure maps, we must evaluate the<br />

16 7

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