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AIDJEX Bulletin #40 - Polar Science Center - University of Washington

AIDJEX Bulletin #40 - Polar Science Center - University of Washington

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TABLE 1<br />

COMPARISON OF ESTIMATED ERRORS, <strong>AIDJEX</strong> AND NWS<br />

24-hr 36-hr 48-hr<br />

<strong>AIDJEX</strong> NWS Prog. Prog. Prog.<br />

RMS error (mb) 0.6 3.5 3.3 4.7 6.4<br />

Mean error (mb) 0.4 2.5 2.8 3.9 5.0<br />

Vector error in G 10% 50% 50%* - 75%"<br />

(*> From Walsh (1977).<br />

REFERENCES<br />

Coon, M. D., G. A. Maykut, R. S. Pritchard, D. A. Rothrock, and A. S. Thomdike.<br />

1974. Modeling the pack ice as an elastic-plastic material. <strong>AIDJEX</strong><br />

BuZZetin, 24, 1-106.<br />

Coon, M. D., R. T. Hall, and R. S. Pritchard. 1977. Predictions <strong>of</strong> arctic ice<br />

conditions for operations. In Proceedings Ninth Offshore TechnoZogy Conference,<br />

vol. 4, pp. 307-314, Houston, Texas.<br />

Hibler, W. D. 111, and W. B. Tucker 111. 1977. Modeling pack ice as a viscous<br />

continuum: an examination <strong>of</strong> the circulation <strong>of</strong> the arctic ice cover over<br />

a two-year period. Unpublished manuscript, CRREL, Hanover, NH.<br />

McPhee, M. G. 1977. An analysis <strong>of</strong> pack ice drift in summer. Paper presented<br />

at Symposium on Sea Ice Processes and Models, 6-9 September, <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Washington</strong>, Seattle. Proceedings to be published by UW Press.<br />

Pritchard, R. S. 1977. The effect <strong>of</strong> strength on simulations <strong>of</strong> sea ice<br />

dynamics. In Proceedings Fowth IntemationaZ Conference on Port and<br />

Ocean Engineering Under Arctic Conditions, pp. 494-505, Memorial <strong>University</strong><br />

<strong>of</strong> Newfoundland, St. Johns.<br />

Pritchard, R. S., and M. D. Coon. 1977. A research plan to test the <strong>AIDJEX</strong><br />

model as an ice forecasting aid. Annual Report to Environmental Research<br />

Laboratories, NOAA, contract no. 03-6-022-35330.<br />

Pritchard, R. S., and R. T. Schwaegler. 1975. Applications <strong>of</strong> the <strong>AIDJEX</strong> ice<br />

model. In proceedings Third InternationaZ Conference on Port and Ocean<br />

Engineering Under Arctic Conditions, vol. 1, pp. 513-526, <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

Alaska, Fairbanks.<br />

Pritchard, R. S., and D. R. Thomas, 1978. Response <strong>of</strong> sea ice to one-dimensional<br />

driving forces. <strong>AIDJEX</strong> BuZZetin, 38, 53-94.<br />

Pritchard, R. S., M. G. McPhee, M. D. Coon, and E. Leavitt. 1977. Winter ice<br />

dynamics in the nearshore Beaufort Sea. <strong>AIDJEX</strong> BuZZetin, 37, 37-93.<br />

Walsh, J. E. 1977. Ice forecasting limitations imposed by the accuracy <strong>of</strong><br />

atmospheric prediction models. <strong>AIDJEX</strong> BuZZetin, 36, 1-12.<br />

Wittmann, W. I., and M. D. Burkhart. 1973. Sea ice. Mariners Weather Log,<br />

part 1, vol. 17(3), pp. 125-134; also part 2, vol. 17(6), pp. 343-355, and<br />

part 3 (1974), vol. 18(4) , pp. 219-229.<br />

16 9

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