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4 - Central Institute of Brackishwater Aquaculture

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Natiooal Workshop-cum-Training on BlolnformaHcs and Information Management In <strong>Aquaculture</strong><br />

FASAL project, for the cropping season 2004-05, made the national wheat<br />

forecast 72 MT in the month <strong>of</strong> February-March 2005 itself. The final estimate <strong>of</strong><br />

72.9 MT was made by Ministry <strong>of</strong> Agriculture some times in the month <strong>of</strong> June-<br />

July. Timeliness, along with spatial attributes, is the most critical component for<br />

policy decisions. These efforts have thus brought down the gaps between crop<br />

production and post-harvest technology, pricing and policy decisions. We have<br />

also been successful in integrating remote sensing technology in the priority<br />

areas such as horticulture, crop diversification, land degradation mapping and so<br />

on.<br />

4. Monitoring Agricultural Disasters<br />

4.1 Managing Flood Plain Agro-ecosystem<br />

Strength <strong>of</strong> remote sensing and GIs lies in reaching out and unfolding the<br />

various linkages and the underlying factors existing between state <strong>of</strong> the natural<br />

resources and environment and incidence <strong>of</strong> disaster induced low productivity<br />

and food insecurity. The advantage <strong>of</strong> remote sensing technology has been its<br />

inherent capability that provides synoptic and repetitive high resolution imageries<br />

over large areas and thus maps out the spatio-temporal variability <strong>of</strong> floods and<br />

crops. Geographic Information System (GIs) establishes dynamic linkages<br />

between biophysical factors with socio-economic variables for analyzing low<br />

productivity through modeling and simulation.<br />

4.1.1 Targeting the vulnerability<br />

Vulnerability <strong>of</strong> agriculture to flood is well known. Remote sensing captures the<br />

vulnerability through near real time flood monitoring, its impact assessment and<br />

forecast modeling. Mapping <strong>of</strong> flood-inundated areas is one <strong>of</strong> the most<br />

successful applications <strong>of</strong> satellite remote sensing and this is routinely<br />

operational in the country since 1988. Because <strong>of</strong> the unique spectral signature,<br />

it is possible to map areas under standing water, areas from where flood water<br />

receded, submerged standing crop areas, sand casting <strong>of</strong> agricultural lands,<br />

breaches in the embankments, marooned villages and towns etc. Using multidate<br />

satellite imageries, the extent <strong>of</strong> damage due to crop loss, destruction <strong>of</strong><br />

infrastructure facilities etc can be assessed. Satellite remote sensing and GIs<br />

techniques have been integrated (Venkantachary et a/, 2001) in Brahmaputra<br />

river basin to provide information on flooded area and damage to cropping lands,<br />

roads and rail tracks. Global Positioning System (GPS) is being used to aid in the<br />

development <strong>of</strong> Digital Elevation Model (DEM) for a flood prone area in Andhra<br />

Pradesh, to enable assessment <strong>of</strong> spatial inlfndation at different water levels in<br />

the river. When satellite derived land use and land cover and ancillary ground<br />

based socio-economic data is assessed to provide location specific flood<br />

warnings. Remote sensing data are evaluated for integration with existing<br />

forecasting models. Also microwave data from RADARSAT is used in conjunction<br />

with optical data to overcome the limitation <strong>of</strong> cloud cover. A proto-type system<br />

consisted <strong>of</strong> comprehensive database design, space-based near real time<br />

monitoring tools, modeling framework, networking and user interface was<br />

synthesized by ISRO in 1998. The date wise flood inundation and recession<br />

pattern during the event year 2003 and its spatial extent during 1988 to 2003 in<br />

Eastern Gangetlc Flood Plain <strong>of</strong> Bihar is given in Figure 6. The year 2003 was

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