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Marine Industries Global Market Analysis - Marine Institute

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MARINE INDUSTRIES GLOBAL MARKET ANALYSIS<br />

33<br />

UK, whose populations engage in high levels of international tourism. By applying<br />

the proportions, by region, to the known data on international tourism receipts a<br />

figure of total tourism can be derived. 13<br />

To derive ‘<strong>Marine</strong> Tourism’, a percentage of each world region’s total tourism was<br />

estimated.This gives the world marine tourism market in 2004 as €155 billion, 11%<br />

of all tourism.This percentage varies widely between regions.<br />

(Another way of calculating the value of world marine tourism could be to apply a<br />

multiplier to the Leisure Boating Industry Revenues to estimate ‘<strong>Marine</strong> Tourism’ but<br />

this approach was not found to be viable.) 14<br />

OCEAN SURVEY<br />

The market valuations and forecasts are taken from our published study,‘The World<br />

Ocean Survey Report’.The approach used in the study is a ‘bottom-up’ one – from<br />

data on proposed activities (such as an offshore field development) we generate our<br />

own individual activity forecasts, which, with typical survey task prices, are the inputs<br />

to the models that value the individual markets.These are in two main groups, the oil<br />

& gas markets and the non-oil markets.<br />

SUBMARINE TELECOMS<br />

Our historic data has been taken from ‘The World Ocean Survey Report’ and is<br />

based on various studies we have carried out in the sector and information sourced<br />

from telecom sector specialist KMI. Our forward view is also based on our<br />

projection of their short-term global forecasts of total km to which we have applied<br />

a regional segmentation based on the location of past installations and changes in<br />

regional demand.<br />

FISHING<br />

The global fishing industry is in decline. Our five-year forecasts assume the value<br />

of the catch will stay constant from 2002 onwards.This assumption has been made<br />

on the basis of increasing production of fish (including shellfish) from aquaculture<br />

compensating for the declining production of capture fishing and keeping prices<br />

steady. Production is forecast to decline at the same rate as it has since 1994<br />

(0.99% per year).<br />

<strong>Marine</strong> fishing production can be viewed by tonnage and by value.The values are<br />

derived from tonnage data in the Eurostat online database and further broken down<br />

14<br />

Ireland is the only country where there is available data on which to make this comparison.The boating industry is of varying<br />

importance to tourism in general (Ireland: 12%, UK: 2%, US: 5%).This is probably due to the leisure boat industries in different<br />

countries varying considerably in structure and overall size. For example, new boat sales make up different proportions of the leisure<br />

boating industry (Ireland: 14%, UK: 19% & USA: 35%).There are also likely to be big differences between regions, especially<br />

comparing the developed and developing world. For these reasons, this approach was not used.

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