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ICCAT REPORT 2012-2013 (I)<br />

Western population<br />

While the western bluefin stock assessment showed a very small increase in the population, the population is still<br />

just 36 percent of the 1970 population. This is not a sign of a healthy fishery.<br />

Recent research on mixing between eastern and western populations means that the actual numbers of western<br />

bluefin could be even lower than projected in this year’s stock assessment. This research confirms that many of<br />

the fish that the SCRS counted as western bluefin in the past were actually eastern bluefin that migrated to the<br />

western Atlantic to feed. The most recent study estimates that 72 percent of bluefin tuna caught off the coast of<br />

the US states of North Carolina and Virginia between 2011 and 2012 were born in the Mediterranean Sea. Since<br />

the current western bluefin stock assessment model does not account for this ‘mixing’, it mistakenly counts all<br />

these eastern fish in western waters as western bluefin and greatly overestimates the western bluefin population<br />

and likelihood of rebuilding.<br />

SCRS Recommendation<br />

“Despite this large uncertainty about the long term future productivity of the stock, under either recruitment<br />

scenario current catches (1,750 t) should allow the biomass to continue to increase.”<br />

Pew urges ICCAT members to follow the scientific advice and not increase quotas, at least until the stock<br />

assessment is overhauled to allow the scientific advice to accurately reflect the mixing of eastern and western<br />

populations.<br />

Eastern population<br />

Despite stricter regulations and increased enforcement efforts taken by ICCAT in the last few years, there are<br />

now five separate studies that point to persistent illegal fishing in the Mediterranean Sea and eastern Atlantic<br />

Ocean. One of these studies estimates that between 2005 and 2011, total catch of eastern Atlantic bluefin was 62<br />

percent over quota, including a 77 percent overage between 2008 and 2011. The SCRS also expressed concerns<br />

that the potential total catch of the existing fleet could easily be in excess of the current quota. Despite this<br />

evidence, the eastern bluefin stock assessment used reported catch as a proxy for total fishing mortality in recent<br />

years, ignoring illegal catch.<br />

SCRS Recommendation<br />

“The Committee notes that maintaining catches at the current TAC (12,900 t) or at the 2010 TAC (13,500 t)<br />

under the current management scheme will likely allow the stock to increase during that period and is consistent<br />

with the goal of achieving F MSY and B MSY through 2022 with at least 60% of probability, given the quantified<br />

uncertainties. A period of stabilization in the main management regulations of the rebuilding plan would allow<br />

the SCRS to better estimate the magnitude and speed of recent trends in F and SSB in the coming years.”<br />

Pew urges ICCAT members to follow the SCRS’s precautionary management advice and not increase quotas for<br />

eastern Atlantic bluefin at least until the stock assessment model reflects a more accurate tally of total fishing<br />

mortality.<br />

Elimination of carry-forward<br />

The 2008 independent review of ICCAT strongly recommended "that ICCAT immediately discontinue the<br />

practice of allowing the carry forward of uncaught allocations in all fisheries" because carry forward "is not<br />

considered to be good practice in fisheries management."<br />

Carry-forward of under-harvest has been prohibited in the eastern Atlantic bluefin tuna fishery since the recovery<br />

plan began in 2006; in 2011 ICCAT eliminated carry-forward in the southern albacore fishery because the<br />

population was identified as being overfished.<br />

Panel 2 should support a similar elimination of the western bluefin tuna carry-forward provision, as the stock is<br />

thought to be overfished with overfishing occurring. Similarly it should not support carry-forward of quota by<br />

any member, as this is already currently prohibited in the eastern fishery.<br />

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