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The Indian Hotels Company Limited<br />

26<br />

Management Discussion and Analysis<br />

In line with <strong>the</strong> international practice, The Indian Hotels Company Limited (IHCL) has been reporting consolidated results taking<br />

into account <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> its Subsidiaries, Joint Ventures and Associates (toge<strong>the</strong>r referred to as “<strong>the</strong> Group”). This discussion,<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore, covers <strong>the</strong> financial results and o<strong>the</strong>r Group developments during April, 2007 to March, 2008 in respect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Group.<br />

Some statements in this discussion describing <strong>the</strong> projections, estimates, expectations or outlook may be forward looking. Actual<br />

results may, however, differ materially from those stated on account <strong>of</strong> various factors such as changes in Government Regulations,<br />

Tax Regimes, Economic Developments within India and <strong>the</strong> countries within which your Company conducts its business, exchange<br />

rates and interest rates fluctuations, impact <strong>of</strong> competition, demand and supply constraints.<br />

INDUSTRY STRUCTURE AND DEVELOPMENTS<br />

An Overview <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Global Tourism Industry<br />

Global tourism continued to move upward during 2007-08 with <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> international tourist arrivals worldwide reaching<br />

about 1,000 million (UNWTO estimates) and international tourism receipts scaling US$ 900 billion in <strong>the</strong> year. Despite continuing<br />

challenges, 2007-08 proved to be ano<strong>the</strong>r excellent year for travel & tourism – <strong>the</strong> fourth consecutive year <strong>of</strong> healthy growth. Since<br />

2004-05, <strong>the</strong> annual increase in travel & tourism economy GDP has averaged 4% in real terms – faster than <strong>the</strong> overall global<br />

economy and in <strong>the</strong> same period, travel & tourism has created more than 34 million jobs.<br />

The prospects for Travel & Tourism over <strong>the</strong> coming decade look bright, with <strong>the</strong> Travel & Tourism Economy forecast to sustain<br />

annual growth <strong>of</strong> more than 4% over <strong>the</strong> next ten years. Emerging economies are expected to continue growing rapidly, boosting<br />

both international and domestic travel and globalisation will be sustained, as <strong>the</strong>se economies become increasingly integrated into<br />

<strong>the</strong> world economy, providing ongoing support for both business and personal travel. In developed countries, rising living<br />

standards and an increasing preference for leisure are expected to generate new long-haul travel, while <strong>the</strong> popularity <strong>of</strong> short<br />

breaks shows little sign <strong>of</strong> abating. Although growth is expected to slow in 2008-09, in line with <strong>the</strong> recent deterioration in <strong>the</strong><br />

economic environment in developed economies, led by <strong>the</strong> USA, WTTC forecasts – developed in collaboration with research<br />

<strong>part</strong>ner Oxford Economics indicated a 3% increase in Travel & Tourism Economy GDP and 6 million additional Travel & Tourism<br />

Economy jobs worldwide. World travel & tourism is expected to contribute nearly US$5,890 billion to global GDP in 2008, rising to<br />

approximately US$10,855 billion over <strong>the</strong> next ten years, according to <strong>the</strong> latest tourism satellite accounting (TSA) research from<br />

<strong>the</strong> World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC). In terms <strong>of</strong> regional performance, Africa, Asia Pacific and <strong>the</strong> Middle East are<br />

experiencing higher growth rates than <strong>the</strong> world average, in terms <strong>of</strong> total Travel & Tourism Demand, at 5.9%, 5.7% and 5.2%<br />

respectively, while <strong>the</strong> matured markets – most notably <strong>the</strong> Americas and Europe – are falling below <strong>the</strong> world average with growth<br />

<strong>of</strong> 2.1% and 2.3% respectively.<br />

The Charts below depict <strong>the</strong> Travel & Tourism demand amongst <strong>the</strong> top nine countries in <strong>the</strong> world and <strong>the</strong> employment potential<br />

contributed by Travel & Tourism as per <strong>the</strong> research based forecast from <strong>the</strong> WTTC.<br />

(Source: WTTC report – Progress & Priorities 2008/09)<br />

Travel & Tourism Demand, 2008-18 (% annualized growth) <strong>of</strong> top countries

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