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In a number of cases, monoline insurers are the counterparty to cre<strong>dit</strong> <strong>de</strong>fault swaps that hedge the cre<strong>dit</strong> r<strong>is</strong>kof certain investm<strong>en</strong>ts. In most cases, solv<strong>en</strong>cy objectives are the main reason for the ex<strong>is</strong>t<strong>en</strong>ce of thesehedges rather than the cre<strong>dit</strong> quality of these investm<strong>en</strong>ts. The impact of the ongoing <strong>de</strong>terioration of the U.S.mortgage market un<strong>de</strong>rmined the cre<strong>dit</strong>worthiness of monoline insurers in 2008, which adversely affected therating of these institutions. Counterparty r<strong>is</strong>k relating to these monoline insurers ar<strong>is</strong>es because the value ofthe cre<strong>dit</strong> <strong>de</strong>fault swaps with these counterparties increases, due to the fair value of the un<strong>de</strong>rlying investm<strong>en</strong>ts<strong>de</strong>creasing, or because other insured investm<strong>en</strong>ts can lead to paym<strong>en</strong>t claims against these insurers. In 2008,value adjustm<strong>en</strong>ts amounting to € 393 million were recogn<strong>is</strong>ed in profit and loss. A prov<strong>is</strong>ion of € 260 millionafter tax has be<strong>en</strong> ma<strong>de</strong> in respect of counterparty r<strong>is</strong>k. At 31 December 2008, the remaining counterparty r<strong>is</strong>kafter value adjustm<strong>en</strong>ts for Rabobank Group amounted to € 1,729 million. In the first half of 2009, the neteffect of the portfolio being scaled down, on the one hand, and the formation of an ad<strong>dit</strong>ional prov<strong>is</strong>ions onthe other, which had an impact on earnings of € 179 million after taxation, <strong>is</strong> that the total prov<strong>is</strong>ion fell to€ 1,034 million. The remaining counterparty r<strong>is</strong>k as at 30 June 2009 amounted to € 737 million.See also Note 4.10 to the consolidated financial statem<strong>en</strong>ts of Rabobank Group for the year <strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>d31 December 2008 for a d<strong>is</strong>cussion of the impact of the financial cr<strong>is</strong><strong>is</strong> on Rabobank.Stock market fluctuationsFollowing a broad-based increase in global stock markets betwe<strong>en</strong> 2002 and 2007, equity markets have be<strong>en</strong>adversely affected since the outbreak of the financial cr<strong>is</strong><strong>is</strong> in the second half of 2007. Stock prices droppedsignificantly in 2008 and in the first quarter of 2009. As share prices picked up from the second quarter of2009, stock exchanges globally recovered slightly in the first half of 2009. Uncertainty among investors andmarket volatility remain high. A further <strong>de</strong>cline in the stock markets could adversely affect Rabobank Group’sresults of operations and its financial assets.Interest ratesChanges in prevailing interest rates (including changes in the differ<strong>en</strong>ce betwe<strong>en</strong> the levels of prevailing shorttermand long-term rates) can materially affect Rabobank Group’s results. For example, the relatively lowinterest rate r<strong>is</strong>k <strong>en</strong>vironm<strong>en</strong>t in the Netherlands and Rabobank Group’s other major markets has driv<strong>en</strong>growth in mortgage volumes, which <strong>is</strong> positive. However, a low interest rate <strong>en</strong>vironm<strong>en</strong>t also adverselyaffected Rabobank Group’s results, due to the structure of its balance sheet, Rabobank has a high level of nonandlow-interest bearing liabilities (its reserves, balances on paym<strong>en</strong>t accounts and curr<strong>en</strong>t accounts).G<strong>en</strong>erally, a sustained period of lower interest rates will reduce the yields on the assets that are financed withthese liabilities. Conversely, r<strong>is</strong>ing interest rates should, over time, increase investm<strong>en</strong>t income but may, at thesame time, reduce the market value of pre-ex<strong>is</strong>ting investm<strong>en</strong>t portfolios. R<strong>is</strong>ing rates can also lead to higheror lower interest margins <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong>ding on whether Rabobank Group’s interest-earning assets reprice at a fasterrate than interest-bearing liabilities or the <strong>de</strong>gree to which the spreads on assets or liabilities narrow or wi<strong>de</strong>n.As d<strong>is</strong>cussed un<strong>de</strong>r “R<strong>is</strong>k Managem<strong>en</strong>t — Interest rate r<strong>is</strong>k”, Rabobank Group g<strong>en</strong>erally takes a limitedinterest rate position that <strong>is</strong> managed within strict limits and <strong>de</strong>signed to take ad<strong>van</strong>tage of expected changesin interest rates and the yield curve.Critical accounting policiesThe accounting policies that are most critical to Rabobank Group’s business operations and the un<strong>de</strong>rstandingof its results are i<strong>de</strong>ntified below. In each case, the application of these policies requires Managem<strong>en</strong>t to makecomplex judgem<strong>en</strong>ts based on information and financial data that may change in future periods, the results ofwhich can have a significant effect on Rabobank Group’s results of operations. As a result, <strong>de</strong>terminationsregarding these items necessarily involve the use of assumptions and judgem<strong>en</strong>ts as to future ev<strong>en</strong>ts and aresubject to change. Differ<strong>en</strong>t assumptions or judgem<strong>en</strong>ts could lead to materially differ<strong>en</strong>t results. See the254

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