11.07.2015 Views

7. Probability and Statistics Soviet Essays - Sheynin, Oscar

7. Probability and Statistics Soviet Essays - Sheynin, Oscar

7. Probability and Statistics Soviet Essays - Sheynin, Oscar

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

will be sufficient, although not necessary, for normal stability. This condition was the basisof Chebyshev’s <strong>and</strong> Markov’s classical theorems.A remark made in 1918 by Bernstein [2] may be considered as a point of departure for thework of <strong>Soviet</strong> mathematicians. He noted that the equality2( ζn− Cn)limE21+( ζ − C )nn= 0 as n (1.1.4)can serve as a necessary <strong>and</strong> sufficient condition of stability for given constants C n . In 1925,Slutsky [5] provided similar but more developed ideas.If the sequence of n is stable, their medians m n can always be chosen as the constants C n .Therefore, owing to Bernstein’s finding, the necessary <strong>and</strong> sufficient condition for stability ofthe sequence of n can be written down as2( ζn− mζn)limE21+( ζ − mζ)nn= 0 as n (1.1.5).It is easy to apply the classical condition (1.1.3) to sums of independent terms n = 1 (n) + 2 (n) + … + n (n) (1.1.6)having finite variances var k (n) = b k (n) ; indeed, the variances of the sums n are the sums of thevariances of the appropriate terms:B n = b 1 (n) + b 2 (n) + … + b n (n) .Unlike the variances B n , the expectations included in conditions (1.1.4) <strong>and</strong> (1.1.5) cannotbe expressed in any easy manner through magnitudes describing the separate terms k (n) . In1928 Kolmogorov [2; 5] discovered a necessary <strong>and</strong> sufficient condition of stability for sumsof independent terms which was easily expressed through the properties of the separate terms.It can be written down as (Gnedenko[24])nlimk = 1( n)( n)2( ξk− mξk)E( n)( n)21+( ξk− mξk)= 0 as n . (1.1.7)A necessary <strong>and</strong> sufficient condition of normal stability for the sums of independent termsis somewhat more complicated (Gnedenko [24]), but, once (1.1.7) is established, itsderivation does not present any great difficulties. Of special interest is the case k (n) = k /n, n = ( 1 + 2 + … + n )/n,where 1 , 2 , …, n … is a sequence of identically distributed independent variables. Here,the necessary <strong>and</strong> sufficient condition of stability becomes extremely simple:lim nP(|| > n) = 0 as n . (1.1.8)This condition {the authors have not specified } is satisfied if such variables k have finiteexpectations, <strong>and</strong> the stability is here certainly normal. This fact constitutes the essence of

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!