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7. Probability and Statistics Soviet Essays - Sheynin, Oscar

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problem remained unsolved until Markov [1] showed how it was possible to obtain limitingdistributions of some of the Pearsonian types by considering an urn pattern of dependenttrials (that of an added ball). […] Pólya (1930), who apparently did not know Markov’sfindings, minutely studied this scheme of contagion, as he called it. Bernstein [34],Savkevich [1] <strong>and</strong> Shepelevsky [2] considered some of its generalizations.Kolmogorov [32] outlined another approach to theoretically justifying the Pearsoniancurves. He obtained their different types as stationary distributions that set in after a longtime in a temporal stochastic process under some assumptions about the mean velocity <strong>and</strong>variance of the alteration of the evolving system’s r<strong>and</strong>om parameter. Bernstein [27] provedthat under certain conditions such a stationary distribution exists. Ambartsumian [1; 2]investigated in detail particular cases of stochastic processes leading to the main Pearsoniancurves.Romanovsky [20] generalized the Pearsonian curves to orthogonal series similar to thewell-known Gram – Charlier series, Bernstein [12; 41] also studied another stochastic patternadmitting in may practically important cases a very concrete interpretation <strong>and</strong> leading tosome transformations of the normal distribution.Still more considerable are the achievements of <strong>Soviet</strong> mathematicians in the domain ofcorrelation theory which already has vast practical applications. The works of Bernstein [13]<strong>and</strong> Khinchin [8] on the limit theorems for sums of r<strong>and</strong>om variables ensured a solidtheoretical foundation for the theory of normal correlation. Bernstein [41] discoveredinteresting applications of these propositions to the case of hereditary transmission ofpolymeric indications (depending on a large number of genes). His work led to a theoreticalexplanation of the law of hereditary regression empirically established by Galton.Bernstein’s research [15; 16] into the geometric foundations of correlation theory are ofparamount importance. He classified various surfaces of correlation according to simplegeometric principles. If the change of one of the r<strong>and</strong>om variables only results in a translationof the conditional law of the distribution (of the density), the correlation is called firm{French original: dure}. Normal correlation is obviously firm, <strong>and</strong> a firm <strong>and</strong> perfectcorrelation is always normal. If all the conditional laws of one variable corresponding tovarious values of the other one can be obtained by contracting (or exp<strong>and</strong>ing) one <strong>and</strong> thesame curve, the correlation is elastic. A more general type of isogeneous correlation is suchthat the elastic deformation of the conditional law is at the same time accompanied by atranslation. Bernstein derived a differential equation that enabled him to determine all thetypes of the firm correlation <strong>and</strong> some particular cases of the isogeneous type. Sarmanov [1;2] definitively completed this extremely elegant theory. The surfaces of isogeneouscorrelation are represented asF(x; y) = [Dx 2 y 2 + 2Gx 2 y + 2Exy 2 + Ax 2 + By 2 + 2Hxy + I] c .In some cases the conditional laws are expressed by the Pearson curves. In the general caseisogeneous correlation is heteroscedastic (with a variable conditional variance). Theregression curve of y on x has equationy = –GxDx22+ Hx + I+ Ex + F<strong>and</strong> a similar equation exists for the regression of x on y.Obukhov [1; 2] developed the theory of correlation for r<strong>and</strong>om vectors first considered byHotelling (1936). It is widely applied in meteorological <strong>and</strong> geophysical problems, in thetheory of turbulent currents <strong>and</strong> in other fields. Making use of tensor methods, he was thefirst to offer an exposition in an invariant form. He introduced tensors of regression <strong>and</strong> of

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