COMPANY DESCRIPTIONOTHER RAW MATERIALSSABIC’s subsidiary, National Industrial Gases Co, is fulfilling the oxygenrequirement of Yansab’s complex. All the supply points are located close to theproject site to minimize the possibility of any delays (or disruptions) in supply.Marketing agreementSABIC is responsible for marketing and selling the entire output from Yansab’scomplex to the local and export markets. Yansab, therefore, is set to benefit fromSABIC’s strong marketing network and distribution channels.DividendWe have projected dividend payment of SR1 per share dividend starting from 2011,given Yansab’s only begins commercial operations in 2010. This results in adividend yield of 2.0% for 2011e onwards.27 April 2010 YANSAB – INITIATING COVERAGE46
FinancialsExhibit 32: Income statementIn SR mn, unless otherwise stated2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014ERevenues 0 7,485 9,771 10,123 10,087 9,972% change n/a n/a 30.5 3.6 -0.4 (1.1)COGS 0 (4,163) (5,875) (6,072) (6,017) (5,962)Gross Profit 0 3,322 3,896 4,050 4,070 4,010Margins (%) n/a 44.4 39.9 40.0 40.3 40.2G&A expenses (29) (198) (535) (553) (552) (546)D&A expenses 0 (778) (933) (939) (945) (953)Operating Profit (29) 3,124 3,361 3,497 3,518 3,464% change n/a n/a 7.6 4.1 0.6 (1.5)EBITDA (29) 3,902 4,294 4,436 4,464 4,417% change n/a n/a 10.1 3.3 0.6 (1.0)Margins (%) n/a 52.1 43.9 43.8 44.3 44.3Interest expenses, net ofincome 0 (139) (276) (182) (157) (83)Zakat 0 (112) (183) (184) (237) (289)Net income (29) 2,874 2,902 3,132 3,124 3,093Net margin (%) n/a 38.4 29.7 30.9 31.0 31.0% change n/a n/a 1.0 7.9 (0.2) 31.0EPS (SR) (0.05) 5.11 5.16 5.57 5.55 5.50Source: Company, <strong>NCBC</strong> Research estimatesExhibit 33: Balance sheetIn SR mn, unless otherwise stated2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014ECash & Cash equivalents 606 2,339 4,037 4,006 6,097 8,119Advances to suppliers andother receivables 865 865 865 865 865 865Accounts receivables 0 1,230 1,606 1,664 1,658 1,639Inventory 738 1,255 1,771 1,830 1,813 1,797Total current assets 2,208 5,689 8,279 8,365 10,433 12,420Capital work in progress 18,576 0 0 0 0 0Fixed assets 0 17,891 17,068 16,259 15,462 14,694Pre-operating expenses 200 0 0 0 0 0Deferred charges 110 110 110 110 110 110Other non-current assets 30 30 30 30 30 30Total non-current assets 18,916 18,030 17,208 16,399 15,601 14,834Total assets 21,124 23,719 25,487 24,763 26,034 27,254Accounts payable 276 912 1,288 1,331 1,319 1,307Accruals and provisions 488 488 488 488 488 488Current portion of LT loan 916 947 3,336 1,279 1,298 1,367Total current liabilities 1,679 2,347 5,112 3,098 3,105 3,162LT loans, including term loanfrom a major shareholder 13,696 12,749 9,412 8,134 6,835 5,468Employees's end of servicebenefits 81 81 81 81 81 81Total non-current liabilities 13,777 12,830 9,494 8,215 6,916 5,549Share capital 5,625 5,625 5,625 5,625 5,625 5,625Statutory reserve 14 301 592 905 1,217 1,527Retained earnings 29 2,616 4,665 6,921 9,171 11,392Total stockholders' equity 5,668 8,542 10,882 13,451 16,013 18,543Total liabilities &stockholders' equity 21,124 23,719 25,487 24,763 26,034 27,254Source: Company, <strong>NCBC</strong> Research estimates27 April 2010 YANSAB – INITIATING COVERAGE47