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State of the Basin Report - 20033. ConclusionFour major trends in macroeconomic activity seem likely to appear in the LMB in the coming decade:increasing agricultural specialisation and commercialisation, increasing non-resource based industrialdevelopments, increasing urbanisation and increasing subregional integration.As the LMB primarily gains its income from agriculture, reforming this sector is of vital importancein order to achieve growth and prosperity. Through producing a variety of cash crops for marketing,incomes in the poorer areas of the basin could improve significantly, and at least move beyond theircurrent subsistence level. The more developed areas will also see improvements in the quality ofgoods produced. The most developed areas will increase the use of technology and findings fromscientific research in agricultural production.To further boost overall productivity and income, the LMB countries will seek to develop moremanufacturing-oriented industries. The less developed areas will try to diversify their productionand thereby end their dependency on the garment sector. The more developed countries will try tospread their industry geographically. The latter will have direct effects for the LMB, especially inThailand.Industrial development will tend to concentrate in and around urban areas and thereby attract anincreasing part of the populations to the cities. Population growth in itself will also be a drivingforce in the urbanisation process. Some people will move to urban areas within the LMB, whileothers will be attracted by cities outside the basin.Increased commercial production in both agriculture and industry will, together with the increasingincome levels generated, increase trade and be a driving force behind increasing de facto subregionalintegration. Furthermore, the countries in the LMB have also formally committed themselves to apath of increased subregional integration.The four trends in macroeconomic activity will have major impacts on the environment and use ofresources within the Mekong basin. Different areas and regions will compete with each other for useof the basin’s resources, especially as economic development will come in different areas at a differentpace and through different sectors, depending on the economic climate in each country. Carefulplanning and cooperation, assisted by the increasing formal integration between the countries, canhelp optimise the use of resources in the LMB.96
6 - Macroeconomic trends in the Lower Mekong BasinEndnotes1ADB 2002a2ADB 2002a3ADB 2001b4WB 2002c5ADB 2002a6WB 2002b7ADB 2002a8ADB 2002a9ADB 2001b10ADB 2001b11WB 2002a12WB 2002a13CDRI 2002.14ADB 2001a15WB 2002c16ADB 2002a17WB 2002b18ADB 2002a19ADB 2002a20ADB 2002a21ADB 2002a22ADB 2001a23ADB 2002a24ADB 2002a25ADB 2002a26ADB 2000b27WB 2002c28ADB 2000b29ADB 2002a30ADB 2000b31ADB 2000b32ADB 2000b33ADB 2000b34ADB 2000b35ADB 2000b36ADB 2000a37WB 2002c38ADB 2000a39ADB 2002a40ADB 2002a41ADB 2000a42ADB 2000a43ADB 2000a44ADB 2002a45CDRI 200246WB 2002a47ADB 2000a48WB 2002a49CDRI 200297
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Mekong River CommissionState of the
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Published in Phnom Penh in June 200
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6. Macroeconomic trends in the Lowe
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4. Data on water and sanitation in
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Table 12. Net secondary enrolment (
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11. Trade and transport ...........
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The governments in the LMB have rec
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MMRMRBMRCMWNERNMCNSRNTFPPPPPRCRGCSO
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State of the Basin Report - 2003tow
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2 - Physical landforms of the Mekon
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3 - Water in the Mekong BasinWater
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3 - Water in the Mekong Basin4. Wat
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Figure 11 (a): Total suspended soli
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5 - Peoples of the MekongPeoples of
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5 - Peoples of the MekongRural and
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5 - Peoples of the Mekong1.2 Ethnic
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Page 117 and 118: 7 - FisheriesFisheries 7The Mekong
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11 - Trade and transportFigure 6. V
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11 - Trade and transport6. Growth a
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11 - Trade and transport12.2 Some e
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Figure 3. Satellite images of the T
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