12.07.2015 Views

Download all Technical Policy Briefing Notes in a single ... - Mediation

Download all Technical Policy Briefing Notes in a single ... - Mediation

Download all Technical Policy Briefing Notes in a single ... - Mediation

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS
  • No tags were found...

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Multi-Criteria AnalysisIn assess<strong>in</strong>g the economic characteristics of various adaptation options a dist<strong>in</strong>ction is madebetween no-regret options and options with co-benefits. No-regret options are the adaptationoptions for which non-climate related benefits, such as improved air quality, will exceed the costs ofimplementation; hence they will be beneficial irrespective of future climate change tak<strong>in</strong>g place.The United K<strong>in</strong>gdom Climate Impacts Programme (Willows and Connell, 2003) has def<strong>in</strong>ed no-regretadaptation options (or measures) as: “options (or measures) that would be justified under <strong>all</strong> plausiblefuture scenarios, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the absence of human-<strong>in</strong>duced climate change”. A no-regret option couldbe one that is worthwhile, <strong>in</strong> that it would yield economic and environmental benefits which exceed itscost, and will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be worthwhile, irrespective of any benefits of avoided climate damages.Options that score high on the criterion co-benefit are specific<strong>all</strong>y designed to reduce climatechangerelated vulnerability while also produc<strong>in</strong>g corollary benefits that are not related to climatechange (Abramovitz et al., 2002). Co-benefits thus concern external effects which have a positiveimpact on policy goals unrelated to climate change policy (Metroeconomica, 2004).F<strong>in</strong><strong>all</strong>y, the options were scored accord<strong>in</strong>g to their effect on mitigation. Certa<strong>in</strong> adaptation optionsalso <strong>in</strong>duce a reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, and thus score very high on mitigation effect(i.e. are strengthen<strong>in</strong>g mitigation policies), while other adaptation options actu<strong>all</strong>y <strong>in</strong>creasegreenhouse gas emissions. Scores were attached for each of the options and for each of the criteria,rang<strong>in</strong>g from 1-5, <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g very low priority (1) to very high priority (5).To assess the political feasibility of the adaptation options, the options were also ranked accord<strong>in</strong>g totheir complexity, for three categories of complexity: (i) <strong>Technical</strong>, (ii) Social and (iii) Institutionalcomplexity. This results <strong>in</strong> a rank<strong>in</strong>g for complexity, which enables policymakers to consider thecomplications that may arise <strong>in</strong> the implementation of the adaptation options (See Table 5).Table 5. Top 10 of complex options: Scor<strong>in</strong>g and rank<strong>in</strong>g of adaptation options regard<strong>in</strong>g feasibility –high scores <strong>in</strong>dicate highest complexity.Nr. Sector Adaptation option<strong>Technical</strong>complexity(20%)Socialcomplexity(40%)Institutionalcomplexity(40%)Weightedsum42 Water Mov<strong>in</strong>g powerplants to coast (cool<strong>in</strong>g water) 4 5 5 4.846 Water Widen<strong>in</strong>g the coastal defence area (<strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ationwith urbanisation and nature)4 5 5 4.847 Water Re-connect<strong>in</strong>g water systems – Overschelde:connection Oosterschelde – Westerschelde4 5 5 4.853 Water Abandon<strong>in</strong>g of the whole of low-ly<strong>in</strong>g Netherlands 4 5 5 4.815 Agriculture Land use change 3 5 5 4.643 Water Spatial plann<strong>in</strong>g of locations for powerplants(nuclear <strong>in</strong> particular)3 5 5 4.644 Water Construction of additional dikes <strong>in</strong> low-ly<strong>in</strong>g partsof the Netherlands3 5 5 4.652 Water Reclamation of (part of) southern North Sea 3 5 5 4.612 Agriculture Regional adaptation strategies for the fen meadow area 4 5 4 4.440 Water More space for water – a) regional water system andb) improv<strong>in</strong>g river capacity4 4 5 4.4Note: high scores <strong>in</strong>dicate high complexity to implement the option, i.e. low feasibility. Weighted sum of scoreson complexity for other options are given <strong>in</strong> Table 6 of De Bru<strong>in</strong> et al. (2009)7

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!