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The Condition of Postmodernity 13 - autonomous learning

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166 Political-economic capitalist transformationTable 2.5Dependence on foreign trade for selected advancedcapitalist countriesExports and imports as per cent <strong>of</strong> GNP1960 1970 1980 1986USexports 4.37 5.35 10.0 7.0imports 4.36 5.00 10.5 10.2UKexports 20.9 23.1 27.7 26.2imports 22.3 22.2 25.3 27.0Japanexports 10.8 10.8 <strong>13</strong>.7 11.7imports 10.3 9.5 14.6 7.6W. Germanyexports 17.9 21.2 26.3 30.0imports 16.4 19. 1 27.0 24.9Italyexports 12.1 15.4 21.7 20.4imports 12.4 15.0 24.4 18.7Source: OEeDmachine tools, shoes, textiles and cars. <strong>The</strong> balance <strong>of</strong> payments ingoods and services for the United States rapidly moved that countryfrom a net global creditor to the status <strong>of</strong> the world's largest debtor(see figure 2.<strong>13</strong>). Meanwhile the financial power <strong>of</strong> Japan grew,turning Tokyo into one <strong>of</strong> the world's most important financial centres(topping New York for the first time in 1987) simply because <strong>of</strong> thevast quantities <strong>of</strong> surplus funds controlled by the Japanese banks.<strong>The</strong> latter displaced the Americans as the largest holders <strong>of</strong> internationalassets in 1985, and by 1987 held $1.4 trillion compared withthe $630 billion held by Americans. <strong>The</strong> four largest banks in theworld (in asset terms) are now Japanese.<strong>The</strong>se shifts have been accompanied and in part ushered in by therise <strong>of</strong> an aggressive neo-conservatism in North America and much<strong>of</strong> Western Europe. <strong>The</strong> electoral victories <strong>of</strong> Thatcher (1979) andReagan (1980) are <strong>of</strong>ten viewed as a distinctive rupture in the politics<strong>of</strong> the postwar period. I understand them more as consolidations <strong>of</strong>44403660 -62 -58 -c..Zt9 54 -* 50 -46 -<strong>of</strong>,Federal debtFrom Fordism to flexible accumulationj i I I j I , I i I I I IPersonal debti I I I I I I I j I i I j4440363228 -I24 -50o , -50(f) -100co== -1 50 -co-200 -Corporate debtr I I f I f i l l 1 i I ITrade deficit/surpluso ------------___-250 -·1-.-, -,,-,--, "T",..,-",...., ,-,,--r-, ,,--,,Figure 2.<strong>13</strong> Growth <strong>of</strong> federal, personal and corporate debt in the UnitedStates and deterioration in US trade balance, 1973-1987(Source: Department <strong>of</strong> Commerce and Federal Reserve Board)what was already under way throughout much <strong>of</strong> the 1970s. <strong>The</strong>crisis <strong>of</strong> 1973-5 was in part born out <strong>of</strong> a confrontation with theaccumulated rigidities <strong>of</strong> government policies and practices built upduring the Fordist-Keynesian period. Keynesian policies had appearedinflationary as entitlements grew and fiscal capacities stagnated.Since it had always been part <strong>of</strong> the Fordist political consensus thatredistributions should be funded out <strong>of</strong> growth, slackening growthinevitably meant trouble for the welfare state and the social wage.<strong>The</strong> Nixon and Heath governments both recognized the problem inthe period 1970-4, sparking struggles with organized labour andretrenchment in state expenditures. <strong>The</strong> Labour and Democraticgovernments that subsequently came to power bowed to the sameimperatives, though ideologically predisposed in quite different directions.<strong>The</strong>ir corporatist approach to solving the problem mayhave been different (relying on voluntary compliance and unionenforcement <strong>of</strong> wages and prices policies) but the objectives had tobe the same. As soon as political choices were seen as a trade-<strong>of</strong>f1 67

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