The Rimba Raya Biodiversity Reserve REDD Project

G2. Baseline ProjectionsG2.1. Most Likely ‘Without Project’ Land-­‐Use ScenarioThis section describes the most likely land-­‐use scenario in the absenceof the project following IPCC 2008 Guidance for AFOLU, describes therange of potential land-­‐use scenarios and associated drivers of GHGemissions and justifies why the land-­‐use scenario selected is most likely.Land Use and Land Planning in the Project AreaIn 1996, the Tanjung Puting National Park border was set (shownas purple line in Figure 19) and comprised 396,000ha 2 . Eachprovince and district in Indonesia is required to conduct ten-­‐yearspatial plans and the 2003 plan for Central Kalimantan indicateda different, smaller border (similar to green border in Figure 19).This revision to the border of the Park was agreed to by theMinister of Forestry in 2005 3 .In the buffer area east of the park in what is now the Rimba Rayaconcession two timber concessions selectively logged the areaduring the 1980s and 1990s, PT Bina Samaktha4 in the northeastportion and PT Mulung Basidi 5 in the southeast. The companiesstopped operations in 1998 and 2000, respectively. Since thensome of the easily accessed forest has been illegally selectivelylogged by nearby villagers.2 Minister of Forestry’s SK No. 687/Kpts-II/19963 Minister of Forestry’s SK No.292/MENHUT-VII/2005Tanggal 13 Mei 20054 SK HPH No. 33/KPTS/Um/I/1978 tanggal 8 Januari 1978seluas ± 50.000 Ha5 SK HPH No. 26/KPTS/Um/I/1980 tanggal 14 Januari 1980seluas ± 98.000 Ha)Figure 19. Tanjung Puting National Park Boundaries 1996 (shownin purple) 2005 (shown in green) and the Rimba Raya concessionboundary (shown in yellow)79