Dec 2010 - South Worcestershire Development Plan

SOUTH WORCESTERSHIRE ANNUAL MONITORING REPORT 201062migration are based on observed levels mainly over the previous fiveyears. They show what the population would be if these recent trendswere to continue. The projections do not take into account any futurepolicy changes that have not yet occurred.7.9 Table 14 illustrates the population projections for South Worcestershireaccording to the 2008-based ONS projections. These suggest anincrease in the number of people in South Worcestershire between2008 and 2033 of 28,300 (or 9.9%). The rate of population growth issimilar to that for Worcestershire as a whole (10%) but below theprojected population growth in the West Midlands overall (13%).LocalAuthority AreaPopulationin 2008(total)PredictedPopulationin 2033(total)Difference2008-2033(total)Difference2008-2033(%)Malvern Hills 74,800 83,600 +8,800 +11.8Worcester 93,900 101,000 +7,100 +7.6Wychavon 116,500 128,900 +12,400 +10.6SouthWorcestershire285,200 313,500 +28,300 +9.9Table 14: Population projections for South Worcestershire 2008-2033(ONS 2008-based Sub-national Population Projections).Household Projections7.10 Household projections are produced by the Department forCommunities and Local Government (CLG) and are linked to the SubNational Population Projections prepared by ONS. The CLG householdprojections are also trend-based and indicate the number of additionalhouseholds that would live in an area if recent demographic trendswere to continue.