Dec 2010 - South Worcestershire Development Plan

SOUTH WORCESTERSHIRE ANNUAL MONITORING REPORT 201075Analysis7.37 The housing trajectory has been compiled using net housingcompletion figures from April 2001 to March 2010 (blue columns) andexpected net completions (orange columns). The projection to 2014/15(orange brick columns) is a forecast of likely number of dwellingcompletions on Local Plan allocated sites and the implementation ofcurrent planning permissions.7.38 Beyond 2014/15 (orange columns) it is projected that completions willcome forward through ongoing implementation of Allocated Local PlanSites (up to 2015/2016) and SWDP sites. A windfall allowance has notbeen applied until 2022/23.7.39 The latest position, as indicated in the 2010 South WorcestershireHousing Land Monitor, shows that South Worcestershire has acommitment of 3,511 dwellings which are either under construction orhave outstanding planning permission.7.40 From 2010/2011 to 2025/2026 figure 12, the South WorcestershireHousing Trajectory to 2026, applies the emerging WMRSS phase twoRevision – Draft, Preferred Option paper (December 2007) policy CF3“Level and Distribution of New Housing Development” (page 75).7.41 The emerging WMRSS proposes 24,500 dwellings to be built in theSouth Worcestershire area between 2006 and 2026, which equates toan annual target of 1225 dwellings per annum (green line with greencircles) (NB This does not include any element of provision forWorcester growth).7.42 At April 2010 it was predicted the number of built dwellings will continueto decline in the 2010/11 monitoring year, however beyond 2011 thenumber of newly built homes is expected to improve. The reason forsuch a low number is threefold. Firstly it is expected that the majority ofexisting commitments will be built out by 2015; Secondly the phasing of