General Plan - Moreno Valley

CHAPTER 8 – HOUSINGMORENO VALLEY GENERAL PLANCHART 8-1MORENO VALLEY POPULATION GROWTH1990-2000145,000140,000135,000130,000125,000120,000115,000110,000105,000118,779 126,021129,358130,900132,133131,858133,420134,588137,202139,052141,2741990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000Source: State Department of Finance, City/County Population and Housing Estimates8.2.2 Population Growth ForecastsIn 1987, the Southern CaliforniaAssociation of Governments (SCAG)population projections for the City ofMoreno Valley were provided in threerange categories for 1990 to 2010: lowrange, mid range and high end. In 1991,when the City’s Housing Element wassubmitted, the anticipation was that thecity’s growth would outpace even the highendprojections (Table 8-2). However,due to the effects of the economicrecession of the 1990s, actual populationgrowth was between the low-endprojection and the midrange projection.The second set of numbers is from WRCOGthat originate from local and regional inputs.The city’s position is that the WRCOGnumbers more accurately reflect themoderate rate of growth Moreno Valley willexperience between the years 2000 and2020. Chart 8-2 is a visual representation ofthe data in Table 8-3.In May of 1999, SCAG presented aPreliminary Draft Growth Forecast forpopulation consisting of two sets ofpopulation numbers (Table 8-3). TheSCAG population numbers are based on1994 population counts adjusted for 1997as well as 1980 and 1990 census trends.Page 8-4 July 11, 2006