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several different, competing logistic regression models. <strong>The</strong> coefficient here can be interpreted in the<br />

same way as R 2 in an ordinary regression. Hence, in this case, the model is considered relatively good,<br />

since the independent variables (the variables <strong>of</strong> productivity and age) explain about 53% to 74%<br />

variation <strong>of</strong> the variation in the dependent variable.<br />

Table: 3 Model Summary<br />

Step -2 Log likelihood Cox & Snell R Square Nagelkerke R Square<br />

1 153.771 a .480 .671<br />

2 130.066 b .526 .736<br />

a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 5 because parameter estimates changed by<br />

less than .001.<br />

b. Estimation terminated at iteration number 6 because parameter estimates changed by<br />

less than .001.<br />

Table: 4 Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<br />

Step Chi-square df Sig.<br />

1 .83 1 .12<br />

2 1.301 2 .254<br />

<strong>The</strong> table Hosmer and Lemeshow test provides a formal test for determining whether the<br />

predicted probabilities for a covariate match the observed probabilities. A large p-value indicates a<br />

good match (column “Sig.”), whereas a small p-value indicates the opposite, indicates to look for some<br />

alternative logistic models to describe the relationship between this covariate and the outcome<br />

variable. Table 4 indicates that the p-values are relatively large 0.254, therefore, indicating support for<br />

the predicted and observed probabilities.<br />

HL test, a further contingency table (Table 5) for the HL test can produce more details.<br />

This test divides the data up into ten groups, which are defined by increasing the order <strong>of</strong><br />

estimated probability. <strong>The</strong> first group corresponds to those subjects who have the lowest<br />

predicted probability.<br />

Table: 5 Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<br />

Demography = Demography =<br />

Male<br />

Female<br />

Observed Expected Observed Expected Total<br />

Step 1 1 29 29.000 53 53.000 82<br />

2 22 22.000 152 152.000 174<br />

<strong>The</strong> findings <strong>of</strong> the Logit models indicate that increasing age decreases the log odds <strong>of</strong> being<br />

better performance. In addition, being female workers are increases the log odds <strong>of</strong> being better<br />

performance relative to those being male workers.<br />

A classification table (Table 6) is useful for logistic regression models which involve<br />

diagnostic testing. <strong>The</strong> classification table displays the agreement between predicted (vertical column)<br />

and actual results (horizontal row), and basically indicates that the incorrect answer is never predicted.<br />

This would be the same as the intercept-only model, without independent variables, where the<br />

www.theinternationaljournal.org > <strong>RJEBS</strong>: Volume: 02, Number: 06, April-2013 Page 20

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