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Global Change Abstracts The Swiss Contribution - SCNAT

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124 <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>Abstracts</strong> – <strong>The</strong> <strong>Swiss</strong> <strong>Contribution</strong> | Cryosphere<br />

08.1-227<br />

Hazard assessment of potential periglacial<br />

debris flows based on GIS- based spatial modelling<br />

and geophysical field surveys: A case<br />

study in the <strong>Swiss</strong> Alps<br />

Kneisel C, Rothenbühler C, Keller F, Haeberli W<br />

Germany, Switzerland<br />

Cryology / Glaciology , Modelling , Geomorphology<br />

Geology<br />

Combined geomorphological and geophysical approaches<br />

were used to perforrn a hazard assessment<br />

of potential periglacial debris flow. Possible<br />

debris flow initiation zones were identified within<br />

a GIS- based model and located based on geomorphic<br />

attributes which contribute the most to this<br />

type of instability. In permafrost- affected alpine<br />

environments, these include the extent and location<br />

of ground ice and permafrost. In a potential<br />

debris flow-starting zone in the Upper Engadine<br />

(moraine/debris rock glacier complex Boval) twodimensional<br />

electrical resistivity surveys were<br />

used to detect the presence/absence of permafrost<br />

and to estimate active- layer depth. <strong>The</strong> results<br />

show that the moraine complex represents<br />

a periglacial debris reservoir which consists of<br />

frozen and unfrozen debris. <strong>The</strong> ice-bonded part<br />

of the moraine is largely protected from sudden<br />

destabilisation and retrogressive erosion can be<br />

assumed to be limited. However, future degradation<br />

or loss of permafrost in the lower parts of the<br />

debris rock glacier would increase the amount of<br />

erodible debris and generally reduce mechanical<br />

stability.<br />

Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, 2007, V18,<br />

N3, JUL-SEP, pp 259-268.<br />

08.1-228<br />

Tracing glacier wastage in the Northern Tien<br />

Shan (Kyrgyzstan/Central Asia) over the last<br />

40 years<br />

Niederer P, Bilenko V, Ershova N, Hurni H, Yerokhin<br />

S, Maselli D<br />

Switzerland, Kyrgyzstan<br />

Cryology / Glaciology , Meteorology & Atmospheric<br />

Sciences<br />

<strong>The</strong> status and dynamics of glaciers are crucial<br />

for agriculture in semiarid parts of Central Asia,<br />

since river flow is characterized by major runoff in<br />

spring and summer, supplied by glacier- and snowmelt.<br />

Ideally, this coincides with the critical period<br />

of water demand for irrigation. <strong>The</strong> present study<br />

shows a clear trend in glacier retreat between 1963<br />

and 2000 in the Sokoluk watershed, a catchment of<br />

the Northern Tien Shan mountain range in Kyrgyzstan.<br />

<strong>The</strong> overall area loss of 28% observed for the<br />

period 1963-2000, and a clear acceleration of wast-<br />

age since the 1980s, correlate with the results of<br />

previous studies in other regions of the Tien Shan<br />

as well as the Alps. In particular, glaciers smaller<br />

than 0.5 km(2) have exhibited this phenomenon<br />

most starkly. While they registered a medium decrease<br />

of only 9.1% for 1963-1986, they lost 41.5% of<br />

their surface area between 1986 and 2000. Furthermore,<br />

a general increase in the minimum glacier<br />

elevation of 78 m has been observed over the last<br />

three decades. This corresponds to about one-third<br />

of the entire retreat of the minimum glacier elevation<br />

in the Northern Tien Shan since the Little Ice<br />

Age maximum.<br />

Climatic <strong>Change</strong>, 2008, V86, N1-2, JAN, pp<br />

227-234.<br />

08.1-229<br />

Validation of the SNOWPACK model in five different<br />

snow zones in Finland<br />

Rasmus S, Gronholm T, Lehning M, Rasmus K,<br />

Kulmala M<br />

Finland, Switzerland<br />

Cryology / Glaciology , Modelling<br />

<strong>The</strong> performance of a snow pack structure model<br />

SNOWPACK was studied in five locations around<br />

Finland during two winters. Reasonable agreement<br />

between modelled and observed snow depth<br />

and snow pack structure evolution was found<br />

in all other locations except in coastal Santala.<br />

Agreement grew when going towards the north;<br />

better agreements were obtained during the early<br />

winter than during the melting period. Several<br />

test runs with changed input data were done for<br />

Hyytiala. Water equivalent, temperature, grain<br />

form and grain size were the most sensitive of the<br />

model output quantities to changes in the input<br />

data. <strong>The</strong> use of measured precipitation instead<br />

of snow depth for driving the mass balance or the<br />

use of different radiation schemes had relatively<br />

large effects on the model output. Model sensitivity<br />

was high when many phase changes were involved<br />

such as during the melting phase in spring<br />

or in temperate climate zones.<br />

Boreal Environment Research, 2007, V12, N4, AUG<br />

27, pp 467-488.<br />

08.1-230<br />

Rockglacier activity studies on a regional scale:<br />

comparison of geomorphological mapping and<br />

photogrammetric monitoring<br />

Roer I, Nyenhuis M<br />

Switzerland, Germany<br />

Geomorphology , Geology , Instruments & Instrumentation<br />

, Cryology / Glaciology<br />

In their spatial distribution as well as in their<br />

different states of activity, rockglaciers imply

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